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# party2d
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Code and processed model inputs for generating two-dimensional party-position estimates from text and expert data. The model combines manifesto and media text indicators with expert survey placements in a Bayesian dynamic item-response framework.
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## Repository contents
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- `src/r/` — scripts that prepare processed model inputs from source datasets.
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- `src/julia/` — Stan data preparation, model fitting, post-estimation, enrichment, and validation.
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- `models/` — Stan model specification.
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- `data/` — processed party-level inputs used by the model.
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- `metadata/` — data dictionary and source-support documentation.
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- `docs/` — raw data source documentation, coding decisions, and operational notes.
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Processed inputs needed by the model are included in `data/` so the estimation step can be reproduced from the model-ready data.
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## Running the pipeline
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Run the full workflow with:
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```bash
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bash run_estimation.sh full
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```
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This executes the numbered workflow scripts:
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```bash
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bash scripts/01_prepare_data.sh
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bash scripts/02_fit_model.sh
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bash scripts/03_extract_estimates.sh
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bash scripts/04_enrich_estimates.sh
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```
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The numbered scripts can also be run manually in that order. `scripts/05_validate_estimates.sh` runs validation checks after estimates have been generated.
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The Bayesian model is computationally expensive. The production run used 4 cores on an AMD Ryzen 9 7945HX and took 60,372 seconds, approximately 16 hours 46 minutes.
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If model output is already available, rebuild estimates without refitting Stan:
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```bash
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bash run_estimation.sh reuse
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```
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`reuse` reruns source-data processing, post-estimation, and enrichment while skipping the Stan fitting step.
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To check the local setup without fitting the model, run:
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```bash
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bash run_estimation.sh dry-run
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```
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## Data inputs
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The model-ready inputs are included under `data/`.
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Original raw source files are not redistributed. See `docs/RAW_DATA_SOURCES.md` for the list of original data sources, access information, and expected local filenames for regenerating the processed inputs.
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## Output variables
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The two position variables are scaled from 0 to 1:
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- `economic_lr`: economic left to economic right.
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- `galtan`: cosmopolitan/socially liberal to traditionalist/nationalist.
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Column definitions are in `metadata/data_dictionary.csv`.
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