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Clarify validation figure labels

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Armin
2026-08-13 21:00:17 +00:00
parent 57eed473c6
commit 9677612a19
8 changed files with 60 additions and 61 deletions
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validation/outputs/party_trajectory_plot_data.csv
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@@ -20,27 +20,27 @@
1567,"United Kingdom: Conservatives","GB",2017,"both_direct_or_nearby","Economic",0.680683625125,0.607886575,0.758350075
1567,"United Kingdom: Conservatives","GB",2019,"both_direct_or_nearby","Economic",0.734806347125,0.6674518,0.805338225
1567,"United Kingdom: Conservatives","GB",2024,"both_direct_or_nearby","Economic",0.696441988625,0.611536275,0.7845477
383,"Germany: SPD","DE",1949,"text_only_direct_or_nearby","Economic",0.2594422284125,0.124083075,0.416025325
383,"Germany: SPD","DE",1953,"text_only_direct_or_nearby","Economic",0.3044620151625,0.172417475,0.44553015
383,"Germany: SPD","DE",1957,"text_only_direct_or_nearby","Economic",0.364714905375,0.217271,0.518439625
383,"Germany: SPD","DE",1961,"text_only_direct_or_nearby","Economic",0.45071135275,0.3107251,0.58867
383,"Germany: SPD","DE",1965,"text_only_direct_or_nearby","Economic",0.40004889475,0.253314775,0.5547562
383,"Germany: SPD","DE",1969,"text_only_direct_or_nearby","Economic",0.36430581075,0.234999825,0.496653
383,"Germany: SPD","DE",1972,"both_direct_or_nearby","Economic",0.271573270375,0.162936225,0.38761415
383,"Germany: SPD","DE",1976,"both_direct_or_nearby","Economic",0.22760841445,0.1408578,0.317522325
383,"Germany: SPD","DE",1980,"both_direct_or_nearby","Economic",0.2854944402625,0.176353725,0.402044875
383,"Germany: SPD","DE",1983,"both_direct_or_nearby","Economic",0.3201057485,0.198932275,0.449359525
383,"Germany: SPD","DE",1987,"both_direct_or_nearby","Economic",0.3082503073875,0.1890146,0.43586885
383,"Germany: SPD","DE",1990,"both_direct_or_nearby","Economic",0.2997481731625,0.1826493,0.42186305
383,"Germany: SPD","DE",1994,"both_direct_or_nearby","Economic",0.344258320125,0.247450525,0.440361825
383,"Germany: SPD","DE",1998,"both_direct_or_nearby","Economic",0.42037938775,0.335025575,0.504438225
383,"Germany: SPD","DE",2002,"both_direct_or_nearby","Economic",0.354348980875,0.285402475,0.419218875
383,"Germany: SPD","DE",2005,"both_direct_or_nearby","Economic",0.408510935875,0.326714325,0.4912897
383,"Germany: SPD","DE",2009,"both_direct_or_nearby","Economic",0.2258038923125,0.154613,0.2986832
383,"Germany: SPD","DE",2013,"both_direct_or_nearby","Economic",0.2547526295,0.177729475,0.3305311
383,"Germany: SPD","DE",2017,"both_direct_or_nearby","Economic",0.2187940564125,0.150431,0.288139
383,"Germany: SPD","DE",2021,"both_direct_or_nearby","Economic",0.2363366825,0.148430575,0.330595375
383,"Germany: SPD","DE",2025,"both_direct_or_nearby","Economic",0.24988987125,0.155485225,0.353246025
383,"Germany: Social Democrats","DE",1949,"text_only_direct_or_nearby","Economic",0.2594422284125,0.124083075,0.416025325
383,"Germany: Social Democrats","DE",1953,"text_only_direct_or_nearby","Economic",0.3044620151625,0.172417475,0.44553015
383,"Germany: Social Democrats","DE",1957,"text_only_direct_or_nearby","Economic",0.364714905375,0.217271,0.518439625
383,"Germany: Social Democrats","DE",1961,"text_only_direct_or_nearby","Economic",0.45071135275,0.3107251,0.58867
383,"Germany: Social Democrats","DE",1965,"text_only_direct_or_nearby","Economic",0.40004889475,0.253314775,0.5547562
383,"Germany: Social Democrats","DE",1969,"text_only_direct_or_nearby","Economic",0.36430581075,0.234999825,0.496653
383,"Germany: Social Democrats","DE",1972,"both_direct_or_nearby","Economic",0.271573270375,0.162936225,0.38761415
383,"Germany: Social Democrats","DE",1976,"both_direct_or_nearby","Economic",0.22760841445,0.1408578,0.317522325
383,"Germany: Social Democrats","DE",1980,"both_direct_or_nearby","Economic",0.2854944402625,0.176353725,0.402044875
383,"Germany: Social Democrats","DE",1983,"both_direct_or_nearby","Economic",0.3201057485,0.198932275,0.449359525
383,"Germany: Social Democrats","DE",1987,"both_direct_or_nearby","Economic",0.3082503073875,0.1890146,0.43586885
383,"Germany: Social Democrats","DE",1990,"both_direct_or_nearby","Economic",0.2997481731625,0.1826493,0.42186305
383,"Germany: Social Democrats","DE",1994,"both_direct_or_nearby","Economic",0.344258320125,0.247450525,0.440361825
383,"Germany: Social Democrats","DE",1998,"both_direct_or_nearby","Economic",0.42037938775,0.335025575,0.504438225
383,"Germany: Social Democrats","DE",2002,"both_direct_or_nearby","Economic",0.354348980875,0.285402475,0.419218875
383,"Germany: Social Democrats","DE",2005,"both_direct_or_nearby","Economic",0.408510935875,0.326714325,0.4912897
383,"Germany: Social Democrats","DE",2009,"both_direct_or_nearby","Economic",0.2258038923125,0.154613,0.2986832
383,"Germany: Social Democrats","DE",2013,"both_direct_or_nearby","Economic",0.2547526295,0.177729475,0.3305311
383,"Germany: Social Democrats","DE",2017,"both_direct_or_nearby","Economic",0.2187940564125,0.150431,0.288139
383,"Germany: Social Democrats","DE",2021,"both_direct_or_nearby","Economic",0.2363366825,0.148430575,0.330595375
383,"Germany: Social Democrats","DE",2025,"both_direct_or_nearby","Economic",0.24988987125,0.155485225,0.353246025
379,"Denmark: Social Democrats","DK",1945,"text_only_direct_or_nearby","Economic",0.39289630125,0.306313775,0.4744366
379,"Denmark: Social Democrats","DK",1947,"text_only_direct_or_nearby","Economic",0.4133295765,0.326647125,0.497578325
379,"Denmark: Social Democrats","DK",1950,"text_only_direct_or_nearby","Economic",0.402314539625,0.313989,0.48990055
@@ -93,27 +93,27 @@
1567,"United Kingdom: Conservatives","GB",2017,"both_direct_or_nearby","Cultural",0.550617655875,0.503622825,0.597269
1567,"United Kingdom: Conservatives","GB",2019,"both_direct_or_nearby","Cultural",0.604817389125,0.5601045,0.6518521
1567,"United Kingdom: Conservatives","GB",2024,"both_direct_or_nearby","Cultural",0.64147235475,0.568830525,0.717038025
383,"Germany: SPD","DE",1949,"text_only_direct_or_nearby","Cultural",0.4562653665,0.29105445,0.6148909
383,"Germany: SPD","DE",1953,"text_only_direct_or_nearby","Cultural",0.41201424225,0.239960775,0.59720855
383,"Germany: SPD","DE",1957,"text_only_direct_or_nearby","Cultural",0.361933815225,0.2020638,0.530546125
383,"Germany: SPD","DE",1961,"text_only_direct_or_nearby","Cultural",0.3403875836625,0.189634975,0.502483725
383,"Germany: SPD","DE",1965,"text_only_direct_or_nearby","Cultural",0.349500525125,0.197610625,0.519782425
383,"Germany: SPD","DE",1969,"text_only_direct_or_nearby","Cultural",0.367453271375,0.2312429,0.51644905
383,"Germany: SPD","DE",1972,"both_direct_or_nearby","Cultural",0.370199619125,0.2680677,0.473299475
383,"Germany: SPD","DE",1976,"both_direct_or_nearby","Cultural",0.28787436475,0.21332925,0.364130925
383,"Germany: SPD","DE",1980,"both_direct_or_nearby","Cultural",0.346500680875,0.245533525,0.448428875
383,"Germany: SPD","DE",1983,"both_direct_or_nearby","Cultural",0.3643932085,0.2585273,0.474535775
383,"Germany: SPD","DE",1987,"both_direct_or_nearby","Cultural",0.373242374375,0.266124675,0.479610175
383,"Germany: SPD","DE",1990,"both_direct_or_nearby","Cultural",0.354967389625,0.25200245,0.460687325
383,"Germany: SPD","DE",1994,"both_direct_or_nearby","Cultural",0.410000861625,0.3313879,0.488224525
383,"Germany: SPD","DE",1998,"both_direct_or_nearby","Cultural",0.458140040875,0.389836225,0.525399375
383,"Germany: SPD","DE",2002,"both_direct_or_nearby","Cultural",0.442940016,0.3876151,0.4964075
383,"Germany: SPD","DE",2005,"both_direct_or_nearby","Cultural",0.456470195875,0.39176415,0.5189629
383,"Germany: SPD","DE",2009,"both_direct_or_nearby","Cultural",0.389663805625,0.32557465,0.451253625
383,"Germany: SPD","DE",2013,"both_direct_or_nearby","Cultural",0.2109102855,0.15503785,0.268407625
383,"Germany: SPD","DE",2017,"both_direct_or_nearby","Cultural",0.40809383225,0.35346185,0.45866175
383,"Germany: SPD","DE",2021,"both_direct_or_nearby","Cultural",0.36824540875,0.27656695,0.461600275
383,"Germany: SPD","DE",2025,"both_direct_or_nearby","Cultural",0.3699090585,0.27155195,0.46999925
383,"Germany: Social Democrats","DE",1949,"text_only_direct_or_nearby","Cultural",0.4562653665,0.29105445,0.6148909
383,"Germany: Social Democrats","DE",1953,"text_only_direct_or_nearby","Cultural",0.41201424225,0.239960775,0.59720855
383,"Germany: Social Democrats","DE",1957,"text_only_direct_or_nearby","Cultural",0.361933815225,0.2020638,0.530546125
383,"Germany: Social Democrats","DE",1961,"text_only_direct_or_nearby","Cultural",0.3403875836625,0.189634975,0.502483725
383,"Germany: Social Democrats","DE",1965,"text_only_direct_or_nearby","Cultural",0.349500525125,0.197610625,0.519782425
383,"Germany: Social Democrats","DE",1969,"text_only_direct_or_nearby","Cultural",0.367453271375,0.2312429,0.51644905
383,"Germany: Social Democrats","DE",1972,"both_direct_or_nearby","Cultural",0.370199619125,0.2680677,0.473299475
383,"Germany: Social Democrats","DE",1976,"both_direct_or_nearby","Cultural",0.28787436475,0.21332925,0.364130925
383,"Germany: Social Democrats","DE",1980,"both_direct_or_nearby","Cultural",0.346500680875,0.245533525,0.448428875
383,"Germany: Social Democrats","DE",1983,"both_direct_or_nearby","Cultural",0.3643932085,0.2585273,0.474535775
383,"Germany: Social Democrats","DE",1987,"both_direct_or_nearby","Cultural",0.373242374375,0.266124675,0.479610175
383,"Germany: Social Democrats","DE",1990,"both_direct_or_nearby","Cultural",0.354967389625,0.25200245,0.460687325
383,"Germany: Social Democrats","DE",1994,"both_direct_or_nearby","Cultural",0.410000861625,0.3313879,0.488224525
383,"Germany: Social Democrats","DE",1998,"both_direct_or_nearby","Cultural",0.458140040875,0.389836225,0.525399375
383,"Germany: Social Democrats","DE",2002,"both_direct_or_nearby","Cultural",0.442940016,0.3876151,0.4964075
383,"Germany: Social Democrats","DE",2005,"both_direct_or_nearby","Cultural",0.456470195875,0.39176415,0.5189629
383,"Germany: Social Democrats","DE",2009,"both_direct_or_nearby","Cultural",0.389663805625,0.32557465,0.451253625
383,"Germany: Social Democrats","DE",2013,"both_direct_or_nearby","Cultural",0.2109102855,0.15503785,0.268407625
383,"Germany: Social Democrats","DE",2017,"both_direct_or_nearby","Cultural",0.40809383225,0.35346185,0.45866175
383,"Germany: Social Democrats","DE",2021,"both_direct_or_nearby","Cultural",0.36824540875,0.27656695,0.461600275
383,"Germany: Social Democrats","DE",2025,"both_direct_or_nearby","Cultural",0.3699090585,0.27155195,0.46999925
379,"Denmark: Social Democrats","DK",1945,"text_only_direct_or_nearby","Cultural",0.367253073125,0.222935775,0.513292475
379,"Denmark: Social Democrats","DK",1947,"text_only_direct_or_nearby","Cultural",0.38745918675,0.234832075,0.545806525
379,"Denmark: Social Democrats","DK",1950,"text_only_direct_or_nearby","Cultural",0.3968814625,0.2531828,0.544707225
1 party_id party_label country year source_support_class dimension estimate lower upper
20 1567 United Kingdom: Conservatives GB 2017 both_direct_or_nearby Economic 0.680683625125 0.607886575 0.758350075
21 1567 United Kingdom: Conservatives GB 2019 both_direct_or_nearby Economic 0.734806347125 0.6674518 0.805338225
22 1567 United Kingdom: Conservatives GB 2024 both_direct_or_nearby Economic 0.696441988625 0.611536275 0.7845477
23 383 Germany: SPD Germany: Social Democrats DE 1949 text_only_direct_or_nearby Economic 0.2594422284125 0.124083075 0.416025325
24 383 Germany: SPD Germany: Social Democrats DE 1953 text_only_direct_or_nearby Economic 0.3044620151625 0.172417475 0.44553015
25 383 Germany: SPD Germany: Social Democrats DE 1957 text_only_direct_or_nearby Economic 0.364714905375 0.217271 0.518439625
26 383 Germany: SPD Germany: Social Democrats DE 1961 text_only_direct_or_nearby Economic 0.45071135275 0.3107251 0.58867
27 383 Germany: SPD Germany: Social Democrats DE 1965 text_only_direct_or_nearby Economic 0.40004889475 0.253314775 0.5547562
28 383 Germany: SPD Germany: Social Democrats DE 1969 text_only_direct_or_nearby Economic 0.36430581075 0.234999825 0.496653
29 383 Germany: SPD Germany: Social Democrats DE 1972 both_direct_or_nearby Economic 0.271573270375 0.162936225 0.38761415
30 383 Germany: SPD Germany: Social Democrats DE 1976 both_direct_or_nearby Economic 0.22760841445 0.1408578 0.317522325
31 383 Germany: SPD Germany: Social Democrats DE 1980 both_direct_or_nearby Economic 0.2854944402625 0.176353725 0.402044875
32 383 Germany: SPD Germany: Social Democrats DE 1983 both_direct_or_nearby Economic 0.3201057485 0.198932275 0.449359525
33 383 Germany: SPD Germany: Social Democrats DE 1987 both_direct_or_nearby Economic 0.3082503073875 0.1890146 0.43586885
34 383 Germany: SPD Germany: Social Democrats DE 1990 both_direct_or_nearby Economic 0.2997481731625 0.1826493 0.42186305
35 383 Germany: SPD Germany: Social Democrats DE 1994 both_direct_or_nearby Economic 0.344258320125 0.247450525 0.440361825
36 383 Germany: SPD Germany: Social Democrats DE 1998 both_direct_or_nearby Economic 0.42037938775 0.335025575 0.504438225
37 383 Germany: SPD Germany: Social Democrats DE 2002 both_direct_or_nearby Economic 0.354348980875 0.285402475 0.419218875
38 383 Germany: SPD Germany: Social Democrats DE 2005 both_direct_or_nearby Economic 0.408510935875 0.326714325 0.4912897
39 383 Germany: SPD Germany: Social Democrats DE 2009 both_direct_or_nearby Economic 0.2258038923125 0.154613 0.2986832
40 383 Germany: SPD Germany: Social Democrats DE 2013 both_direct_or_nearby Economic 0.2547526295 0.177729475 0.3305311
41 383 Germany: SPD Germany: Social Democrats DE 2017 both_direct_or_nearby Economic 0.2187940564125 0.150431 0.288139
42 383 Germany: SPD Germany: Social Democrats DE 2021 both_direct_or_nearby Economic 0.2363366825 0.148430575 0.330595375
43 383 Germany: SPD Germany: Social Democrats DE 2025 both_direct_or_nearby Economic 0.24988987125 0.155485225 0.353246025
44 379 Denmark: Social Democrats DK 1945 text_only_direct_or_nearby Economic 0.39289630125 0.306313775 0.4744366
45 379 Denmark: Social Democrats DK 1947 text_only_direct_or_nearby Economic 0.4133295765 0.326647125 0.497578325
46 379 Denmark: Social Democrats DK 1950 text_only_direct_or_nearby Economic 0.402314539625 0.313989 0.48990055
93 1567 United Kingdom: Conservatives GB 2017 both_direct_or_nearby Cultural 0.550617655875 0.503622825 0.597269
94 1567 United Kingdom: Conservatives GB 2019 both_direct_or_nearby Cultural 0.604817389125 0.5601045 0.6518521
95 1567 United Kingdom: Conservatives GB 2024 both_direct_or_nearby Cultural 0.64147235475 0.568830525 0.717038025
96 383 Germany: SPD Germany: Social Democrats DE 1949 text_only_direct_or_nearby Cultural 0.4562653665 0.29105445 0.6148909
97 383 Germany: SPD Germany: Social Democrats DE 1953 text_only_direct_or_nearby Cultural 0.41201424225 0.239960775 0.59720855
98 383 Germany: SPD Germany: Social Democrats DE 1957 text_only_direct_or_nearby Cultural 0.361933815225 0.2020638 0.530546125
99 383 Germany: SPD Germany: Social Democrats DE 1961 text_only_direct_or_nearby Cultural 0.3403875836625 0.189634975 0.502483725
100 383 Germany: SPD Germany: Social Democrats DE 1965 text_only_direct_or_nearby Cultural 0.349500525125 0.197610625 0.519782425
101 383 Germany: SPD Germany: Social Democrats DE 1969 text_only_direct_or_nearby Cultural 0.367453271375 0.2312429 0.51644905
102 383 Germany: SPD Germany: Social Democrats DE 1972 both_direct_or_nearby Cultural 0.370199619125 0.2680677 0.473299475
103 383 Germany: SPD Germany: Social Democrats DE 1976 both_direct_or_nearby Cultural 0.28787436475 0.21332925 0.364130925
104 383 Germany: SPD Germany: Social Democrats DE 1980 both_direct_or_nearby Cultural 0.346500680875 0.245533525 0.448428875
105 383 Germany: SPD Germany: Social Democrats DE 1983 both_direct_or_nearby Cultural 0.3643932085 0.2585273 0.474535775
106 383 Germany: SPD Germany: Social Democrats DE 1987 both_direct_or_nearby Cultural 0.373242374375 0.266124675 0.479610175
107 383 Germany: SPD Germany: Social Democrats DE 1990 both_direct_or_nearby Cultural 0.354967389625 0.25200245 0.460687325
108 383 Germany: SPD Germany: Social Democrats DE 1994 both_direct_or_nearby Cultural 0.410000861625 0.3313879 0.488224525
109 383 Germany: SPD Germany: Social Democrats DE 1998 both_direct_or_nearby Cultural 0.458140040875 0.389836225 0.525399375
110 383 Germany: SPD Germany: Social Democrats DE 2002 both_direct_or_nearby Cultural 0.442940016 0.3876151 0.4964075
111 383 Germany: SPD Germany: Social Democrats DE 2005 both_direct_or_nearby Cultural 0.456470195875 0.39176415 0.5189629
112 383 Germany: SPD Germany: Social Democrats DE 2009 both_direct_or_nearby Cultural 0.389663805625 0.32557465 0.451253625
113 383 Germany: SPD Germany: Social Democrats DE 2013 both_direct_or_nearby Cultural 0.2109102855 0.15503785 0.268407625
114 383 Germany: SPD Germany: Social Democrats DE 2017 both_direct_or_nearby Cultural 0.40809383225 0.35346185 0.45866175
115 383 Germany: SPD Germany: Social Democrats DE 2021 both_direct_or_nearby Cultural 0.36824540875 0.27656695 0.461600275
116 383 Germany: SPD Germany: Social Democrats DE 2025 both_direct_or_nearby Cultural 0.3699090585 0.27155195 0.46999925
117 379 Denmark: Social Democrats DK 1945 text_only_direct_or_nearby Cultural 0.367253073125 0.222935775 0.513292475
118 379 Denmark: Social Democrats DK 1947 text_only_direct_or_nearby Cultural 0.38745918675 0.234832075 0.545806525
119 379 Denmark: Social Democrats DK 1950 text_only_direct_or_nearby Cultural 0.3968814625 0.2531828 0.544707225