Publish party-position estimates and validation materials

scripts/01_prepare_data.sh

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+#!/usr/bin/env bash
+set -euo pipefail
+
+repo_root="$(cd "$(dirname "${BASH_SOURCE[0]}")/.." && pwd -P)"
+cd "$repo_root"
+
+required_model_inputs=(
+  "data/text_data.csv"
+  "data/expert.csv"
+  "data/lr_data.csv"
+  "data/union_mapping.csv"
+  "data/party_families.csv"
+)
+
+missing=0
+for input in "${required_model_inputs[@]}"; do
+  if [ ! -s "$input" ]; then
+    echo "Missing model-ready input: $input" >&2
+    missing=1
+  fi
+done
+
+if [ "$missing" -ne 0 ]; then
+  echo "Regenerate model inputs with data-setup/run_data_setup.sh, or restore the included data/ files." >&2
+  exit 1
+fi
+
+echo "Model-ready data inputs are present."

scripts/02_fit_model.sh

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+#!/usr/bin/env bash
+set -euo pipefail
+
+repo_root="$(cd "$(dirname "${BASH_SOURCE[0]}")/.." && pwd -P)"
+cd "$repo_root"
+
+julia --project=. src/julia/01_run_model.jl

scripts/03_extract_estimates.sh

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+#!/usr/bin/env bash
+set -euo pipefail
+
+repo_root="$(cd "$(dirname "${BASH_SOURCE[0]}")/.." && pwd -P)"
+cd "$repo_root"
+
+julia --project=. src/julia/02_post_estimation.jl

scripts/04_enrich_estimates.sh

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+#!/usr/bin/env bash
+set -euo pipefail
+
+repo_root="$(cd "$(dirname "${BASH_SOURCE[0]}")/.." && pwd -P)"
+cd "$repo_root"
+
+julia --project=. src/julia/02_enrich_output.jl

scripts/05_validate_estimates.sh

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+#!/usr/bin/env bash
+set -euo pipefail
+
+repo_root="$(cd "$(dirname "${BASH_SOURCE[0]}")/.." && pwd -P)"
+cd "$repo_root"
+
+julia --project=. src/julia/validate_convergent.jl
+julia --project=. src/julia/validate_uncertainty.jl
+julia --project=. src/julia/validate_construct.jl

scripts/check_public_content.sh

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+#!/usr/bin/env bash
+set -euo pipefail
+
+repo_root="$(git rev-parse --show-toplevel)"
+cd "$repo_root"
+
+fail() {
+  printf 'PUBLIC CONTENT CHECK FAILED: %s\n' "$1" >&2
+  exit 1
+}
+
+# The bracketed spellings intentionally prevent this guard from matching its
+# own detection patterns.
+content_pattern='[Rr][Ee][Vv][Ii][Ee][Ww]([Ee][Rr]|[Ss])?|[Ee][Dd][Ii][Tt][Oo][Rr]([[:space:]_-]*[Cc][Oo][Mm][Mm][Ee][Nn][Tt][Ss]?)?|[Mm][Aa][Jj][Oo][Rr][[:space:]_-]*[Rr][Ee][Vv][Ii][Ss][Ii][Oo][Nn]|[Pp][Oo][Ii][Nn][Tt][[:space:]_-]*[Bb][Yy][[:space:]_-]*[Pp][Oo][Ii][Nn][Tt]|[Rr][Ee][Vv][Ii][Ee][Ww][[:space:]_-]*[Pp][Rr][Oo][Cc][Ee][Ss][Ss]|[Ss][Uu][Bb][Mm][Ii][Ss][Ss][Ii][Oo][Nn][[:space:]_-]*[Dd][Ee][Tt][Aa][Ii][Ll][Ss]'
+path_pattern='([Rr][Ee][Vv][Ii][Ee][Ww]|[Rr][Ee][Vv][Ii][Ss][Ii][Oo][Nn]|[Rr][Ee][Ss][Pp][Oo][Nn][Ss][Ee][[:space:]_.-]*[Tt][Oo])'
+
+check_ref() {
+  local ref="$1"
+  local hits
+  hits="$(git grep -n -I -E "$content_pattern" "$ref" -- . ':(exclude)*.pdf' 2>/dev/null || true)"
+  [[ -z "$hits" ]] || fail "non-public wording found in $ref:\n$hits"
+}
+
+check_names() {
+  local names
+  names="$(git ls-tree -r --name-only HEAD | grep -E "$path_pattern" || true)"
+  [[ -z "$names" ]] || fail "non-public-looking tracked path(s):\n$names"
+}
+
+check_names
+
+while IFS= read -r commit; do
+  check_ref "$commit"
+done < <(git rev-list --all)
+
+while IFS=$'\t' read -r object subject; do
+  if printf '%s\n%s\n' "$object" "$subject" | grep -E -q "$content_pattern"; then
+    fail "non-public wording found in reachable ref or commit subject: $object $subject"
+  fi
+done < <(git for-each-ref --format='%(refname)%09%(subject)'; git log --all --format='%H%x09%s')
+
+printf 'OK: public-content audit passed.\n'

scripts/install_public_guard.sh

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+#!/usr/bin/env bash
+set -euo pipefail
+
+repo_root="$(git rev-parse --show-toplevel)"
+hook="$repo_root/.git/hooks/pre-push"
+
+if [[ -e "$hook" && ! -f "$hook" ]]; then
+  printf 'Cannot install guard: %s is not a regular file.\n' "$hook" >&2
+  exit 1
+fi
+
+if [[ -f "$hook" ]] && ! grep -Fq 'scripts/check_public_content.sh' "$hook"; then
+  printf 'Cannot install guard: existing pre-push hook is not managed by this repository.\n' >&2
+  exit 1
+fi
+
+cat > "$hook" <<'EOF'
+#!/usr/bin/env bash
+set -euo pipefail
+repo_root="$(git rev-parse --show-toplevel)"
+exec bash "$repo_root/scripts/check_public_content.sh"
+EOF
+chmod +x "$hook"
+printf 'Installed public-content pre-push guard.\n'