Publish party-position estimates and validation materials

run_estimation.sh

@@ -0,0 +1,63 @@
+#!/usr/bin/env bash
+set -euo pipefail
+
+MODE="${1:-reuse}"
+repo_root="$(cd "$(dirname "${BASH_SOURCE[0]}")" && pwd -P)"
+cd "$repo_root"
+
+case "$MODE" in
+  full|reuse|dry-run) ;;
+  *)
+    echo "Usage: $0 [full|reuse|dry-run]" >&2
+    exit 1
+    ;;
+esac
+
+export PARTY2D_RAW_DATA_DIR="${PARTY2D_RAW_DATA_DIR:-$repo_root/_local/raw}"
+export TMPDIR="${TMPDIR:-$repo_root/_local/tmp}"
+mkdir -p "$TMPDIR"
+
+required_model_inputs=(
+  "data/text_data.csv"
+  "data/expert.csv"
+  "data/lr_data.csv"
+  "data/union_mapping.csv"
+  "data/party_families.csv"
+)
+
+if [ "$MODE" = "dry-run" ]; then
+  echo "Checking commands..."
+  command -v bash >/dev/null
+  command -v julia >/dev/null
+  echo "Checking key files..."
+  test -f Project.toml
+  test -f Manifest.toml
+  test -f models/stan_model_2dim_v6.stan
+  for input in "${required_model_inputs[@]}"; do
+    test -f "$input"
+  done
+  echo "Checking shell syntax..."
+  bash -n scripts/01_prepare_data.sh
+  bash -n scripts/02_fit_model.sh
+  bash -n scripts/03_extract_estimates.sh
+  bash -n scripts/04_enrich_estimates.sh
+  bash -n scripts/05_validate_estimates.sh
+  bash -n data-setup/run_data_setup.sh
+  bash -n data-setup/check_raw_data.sh
+  echo "Checking Julia project can instantiate without running model code..."
+  julia --project=. -e 'import Pkg; Pkg.instantiate(); println("Julia project OK")'
+  echo "Dry run passed. No model fitting was run."
+  exit 0
+fi
+
+bash scripts/01_prepare_data.sh
+
+if [ "$MODE" = "full" ]; then
+  bash scripts/02_fit_model.sh
+else
+  echo "reuse: skipping Stan model fitting; using latest existing model output"
+fi
+
+bash scripts/03_extract_estimates.sh
+bash scripts/04_enrich_estimates.sh
+bash scripts/05_validate_estimates.sh