Publish party-position estimates and validation materials

2026-08-13 15:26:21 +00:00
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+"release","iso2","country","first_year","last_year","parties","election_year_rows","both_text_expert","text_only","expert_only","temporal_propagation"
+"v0","AL","Albania",1991,2021,9,51,19,23,9,0
+"v0","AM","Armenia",1995,2021,8,26,25,1,0,0
+"v0","AR","Argentina",1983,2019,9,51,27,6,9,9
+"v0","AT","Austria",1949,2019,7,84,64,20,0,0
+"v0","AU","Australia",1946,2022,9,129,70,53,6,0
+"v0","AZ","Azerbaijan",1995,2015,3,9,5,1,3,0
+"v0","BA","Bosnia and Herzegovina",1990,2022,9,59,43,16,0,0
+"v0","BE","Belgium",1946,2019,20,194,114,77,3,0
+"v0","BG","Bulgaria",1990,2017,12,43,37,5,0,1
+"v0","BO","Bolivia",1979,2014,2,13,2,1,10,0
+"v0","BR","Brazil",1982,2022,8,69,3,57,6,3
+"v0","BY","Belarus",1995,2008,1,4,1,0,3,0
+"v0","CA","Canada",1945,2021,8,104,64,39,1,0
+"v0","CH","Switzerland",1947,2019,16,155,69,86,0,0
+"v0","CL","Chile",1989,2021,9,65,0,63,0,2
+"v0","CO","Colombia",1970,2018,9,45,12,9,24,0
+"v0","CR","Costa Rica",1970,2018,7,35,29,0,6,0
+"v0","CY","Cyprus",1970,2016,7,44,22,4,18,0
+"v0","CZ","Czechia",1990,2017,12,51,50,1,0,0
+"v0","DE","Germany",1949,2025,11,115,56,59,0,0
+"v0","DK","Denmark",1945,2019,17,236,131,105,0,0
+"v0","DO","Dominican Republic",1978,2016,3,38,29,0,9,0
+"v0","EC","Ecuador",1979,2017,9,66,36,4,20,6
+"v0","EE","Estonia",1992,2019,12,50,41,6,3,0
+"v0","ES","Spain",1977,2023,23,154,108,45,0,1
+"v0","FI","Finland",1945,2019,11,158,88,70,0,0
+"v0","FR","France",1946,2022,16,121,62,55,4,0
+"v0","GB","United Kingdom",1945,2024,12,106,71,35,0,0
+"v0","GE","Georgia",1992,2020,10,27,24,3,0,0
+"v0","GR","Greece",1974,2023,13,76,69,4,2,1
+"v0","HR","Croatia",1990,2020,13,60,41,15,3,1
+"v0","HU","Hungary",1990,2022,12,50,42,7,1,0
+"v0","IE","Ireland",1948,2020,12,100,63,37,0,0
+"v0","IL","Israel",1949,2022,33,218,91,102,12,13
+"v0","IS","Iceland",1946,2021,14,116,84,32,0,0
+"v0","IT","Italy",1946,2018,27,132,55,69,0,8
+"v0","JP","Japan",1960,2021,12,120,80,40,0,0
+"v0","KR","South Korea",1992,2020,10,25,20,5,0,0
+"v0","LK","Sri Lanka",1947,2015,4,32,8,17,7,0
+"v0","LT","Lithuania",1992,2020,13,50,43,2,5,0
+"v0","LU","Luxembourg",1945,2013,7,74,44,30,0,0
+"v0","LV","Latvia",1993,2022,16,55,41,7,1,6
+"v0","MD","Moldova",1994,2019,6,22,22,0,0,0
+"v0","ME","Montenegro",1990,2023,13,50,32,18,0,0
+"v0","MK","North Macedonia",1990,2016,11,57,33,23,1,0
+"v0","MT","Malta",1971,2022,2,24,14,0,10,0
+"v0","MX","Mexico",1946,2018,10,86,31,31,1,23
+"v0","NL","Netherlands",1946,2021,23,188,123,65,0,0
+"v0","NO","Norway",1945,2017,10,129,71,58,0,0
+"v0","NZ","New Zealand",1946,2020,10,108,64,42,1,1
+"v0","PA","Panama",1980,2019,6,26,4,8,14,0
+"v0","PE","Peru",1978,2016,5,18,7,0,11,0
+"v0","PL","Poland",1972,2019,12,53,37,10,6,0
+"v0","PT","Portugal",1975,2022,15,121,73,47,1,0
+"v0","RO","Romania",1990,2016,11,35,19,5,1,10
+"v0","RS","Serbia",1990,2023,18,80,41,39,0,0
+"v0","RU","Russia",1993,2011,10,31,28,3,0,0
+"v0","SE","Sweden",1944,2022,8,144,103,41,0,0
+"v0","SI","Slovenia",1990,2018,15,70,60,5,5,0
+"v0","SK","Slovakia",1990,2016,14,54,47,7,0,0
+"v0","TR","Türkiye",1950,2018,12,65,44,17,4,0
+"v0","UA","Ukraine",1994,2019,11,35,31,3,1,0
+"v0","US","United States",1944,2024,2,78,52,26,0,0
+"v0","UY","Uruguay",1984,2014,3,16,2,0,14,0
+"v0","ZA","South Africa",1989,2019,6,24,18,4,2,0
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+file_name,variable_name,label,description,type,allowed_values,range_min,range_max,missing_value_code,unit,scale_direction,constructed_from,construction_rule,notes
+party_2d_election_year_panel_vN.csv (inside party_2d_election_year_panel_vN.zip),party_id,PartyFacts party identifier,Identifier for the individual party,integer,,,,,identifier,,PartyFacts crosswalk,Assigned during party harmonization,
+party_2d_election_year_panel_vN.csv (inside party_2d_election_year_panel_vN.zip),party_name_english,English party name,Party name from the harmonized output,string,,,,,name,,Party metadata,,
+party_2d_election_year_panel_vN.csv (inside party_2d_election_year_panel_vN.zip),party_name_short,Short party name,Short party label from the harmonized output,string,,,,,name,,Party metadata,,May be missing
+party_2d_election_year_panel_vN.csv (inside party_2d_election_year_panel_vN.zip),country,Country code,ISO2 or historical country-code identifier,string,,,,,identifier,,Source metadata and PartyFacts,,
+party_2d_election_year_panel_vN.csv (inside party_2d_election_year_panel_vN.zip),year,Calendar year,Calendar year of the election-year estimate,integer,,1944,2025,,year,,Election and model-year metadata,,
+party_2d_election_year_panel_vN.csv (inside party_2d_election_year_panel_vN.zip),segment_num,Party segment number,Segment number within party after splitting at long evidence gaps,integer,,1,,,segment,,Party history segmentation,Main segment is coded 1,
+party_2d_election_year_panel_vN.csv (inside party_2d_election_year_panel_vN.zip),union_party_id,Union or alliance PartyFacts identifier,Identifier of parent union or alliance where applicable,integer,,,,,identifier,,Alliance mapping,,Missing if party is not represented through a union or alliance
+party_2d_election_year_panel_vN.csv (inside party_2d_election_year_panel_vN.zip),in_union,Union membership indicator,Indicator that the row is associated with a union or alliance,boolean,0;1,0,1,,indicator,,Alliance mapping,,
+party_2d_election_year_panel_vN.csv (inside party_2d_election_year_panel_vN.zip),pervote,Vote share,Vote share at the election year,numeric,,0,100,,percent,,Election metadata,,
+party_2d_election_year_panel_vN.csv (inside party_2d_election_year_panel_vN.zip),economic_lr,Economic left-right posterior mean,Posterior mean of economic left-right position,numeric,,0,1,,unit interval,0=left; 1=right,Posterior draws,Mean after inverse-logit transformation,
+party_2d_election_year_panel_vN.csv (inside party_2d_election_year_panel_vN.zip),galtan,Cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist posterior mean,Posterior mean of cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist position,numeric,,0,1,,unit interval,0=cosmopolitan; 1=traditionalist,Posterior draws,Mean after inverse-logit transformation,
+party_2d_election_year_panel_vN.csv (inside party_2d_election_year_panel_vN.zip),economic_lr_se,Economic posterior standard error,Posterior standard deviation for economic_lr,numeric,,0,,,unit interval,,Posterior draws,Standard deviation over posterior draws,
+party_2d_election_year_panel_vN.csv (inside party_2d_election_year_panel_vN.zip),galtan_se,Cultural posterior standard error,Posterior standard deviation for the cultural estimate,numeric,,0,,,unit interval,,Posterior draws,Standard deviation over posterior draws,
+party_2d_election_year_panel_vN.csv (inside party_2d_election_year_panel_vN.zip),economic_lr_q025,Economic lower posterior interval,2.5 percent posterior quantile for economic_lr,numeric,,0,1,,unit interval,0=left; 1=right,Posterior draws,Quantile over posterior draws,
+party_2d_election_year_panel_vN.csv (inside party_2d_election_year_panel_vN.zip),economic_lr_q975,Economic upper posterior interval,97.5 percent posterior quantile for economic_lr,numeric,,0,1,,unit interval,0=left; 1=right,Posterior draws,Quantile over posterior draws,
+party_2d_election_year_panel_vN.csv (inside party_2d_election_year_panel_vN.zip),galtan_q025,Cultural lower posterior interval,2.5 percent posterior quantile for the cultural estimate,numeric,,0,1,,unit interval,0=cosmopolitan; 1=traditionalist,Posterior draws,Quantile over posterior draws,
+party_2d_election_year_panel_vN.csv (inside party_2d_election_year_panel_vN.zip),galtan_q975,Cultural upper posterior interval,97.5 percent posterior quantile for the cultural estimate,numeric,,0,1,,unit interval,0=cosmopolitan; 1=traditionalist,Posterior draws,Quantile over posterior draws,
+party_2d_election_year_panel_vN.csv (inside party_2d_election_year_panel_vN.zip),election_id,Election identifier,Election identifier where available,string,,,,,identifier,,Election metadata,,Missing where no election identifier is available
+party_2d_election_year_panel_vN.csv (inside party_2d_election_year_panel_vN.zip),election_date,Election date,Election date where available,date,,,,,date,,Election metadata,,Missing in current processed election metadata
+party_2d_election_year_panel_vN.csv (inside party_2d_election_year_panel_vN.zip),has_text,Text support indicator,Indicator for direct or nearby text evidence,boolean,0;1,0,1,,indicator,,Source-support construction,Nearby threshold documented in source_support_dictionary.csv,
+party_2d_election_year_panel_vN.csv (inside party_2d_election_year_panel_vN.zip),has_expert,Expert support indicator,Indicator for direct or nearby expert evidence,boolean,0;1,0,1,,indicator,,Source-support construction,Nearby threshold documented in source_support_dictionary.csv,
+party_2d_election_year_panel_vN.csv (inside party_2d_election_year_panel_vN.zip),n_text_sources,Number of text sources,Number of distinct text source families contributing direct or nearby evidence,integer,,0,,,count,,Source-support construction,,
+party_2d_election_year_panel_vN.csv (inside party_2d_election_year_panel_vN.zip),n_expert_sources,Number of expert sources,Number of distinct expert source families contributing direct or nearby evidence,integer,,0,,,count,,Source-support construction,,
+party_2d_election_year_panel_vN.csv (inside party_2d_election_year_panel_vN.zip),nearest_text_distance,Nearest text distance,Absolute distance in years to nearest text observation used to inform trajectory,numeric,,0,,,years,,Source-support construction,,Missing if no text observation exists for the party-country key
+party_2d_election_year_panel_vN.csv (inside party_2d_election_year_panel_vN.zip),nearest_expert_distance,Nearest expert distance,Absolute distance in years to nearest expert observation used to inform trajectory,numeric,,0,,,years,,Source-support construction,,Missing if no expert observation exists for the party-country key
+party_2d_election_year_panel_vN.csv (inside party_2d_election_year_panel_vN.zip),source_support_class,Source-support class,Summary class of text/expert support,string,both_direct_or_nearby; text_only_direct_or_nearby; expert_only_direct_or_nearby; temporal_propagation,,,,categorical,,Source-support construction,,
+party_2d_annual_model_output_vN.csv (inside party_2d_annual_model_output_vN.zip),all fields,Annual model output fields,Same model-output fields as the production annual party-position file plus no source-support augmentation,mixed,,,,,,,Posterior processing,,Secondary model output
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+field,value,definition,notes
+direct_support,observation in same calendar year,Observation in the same calendar year as the election-year estimate,
+nearby_support,observation within threshold,Observation within the stated distance threshold of the election-year estimate,
+nearby_support_threshold_years,2,Numerical threshold in years used to classify nearby support,
+temporal_propagation,no nearby observation,No text or expert observation within the nearby threshold,
+source_support_class,both_direct_or_nearby,Both text and expert evidence are direct or nearby,
+source_support_class,text_only_direct_or_nearby,Text evidence is direct or nearby and expert evidence is not,
+source_support_class,expert_only_direct_or_nearby,Expert evidence is direct or nearby and text evidence is not,
+source_support_class,temporal_propagation,Neither text nor expert evidence is direct or nearby,