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Publish party-position estimates and validation materials

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Armin Seimel
2026-08-13 15:26:21 +00:00
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diagnostics/generated/README.md
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# Generated diagnostics
These files are generated by:
```bash
Rscript diagnostics/generate_diagnostics.R
```
The command requires completed model/post-estimation outputs. If those outputs are outside the repository root, set `PARTY2D_OUTPUTS_DIR` before running the script.
The report file is `diagnostics_report.pdf`; the same PDF is copied into `data/releases/` for the release files.
diagnostics/generated/alliance_union_harmonization.csv
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metric,category,value
constituent_mappings,all,106
unique_union_or_alliance_ids,all,76
unique_constituent_party_ids,all,100
mappings_by_country,AR,5
mappings_by_country,AU,2
mappings_by_country,BA,1
mappings_by_country,BE,4
mappings_by_country,BG,5
mappings_by_country,BR,6
mappings_by_country,CH,1
mappings_by_country,CL,8
mappings_by_country,CZ,4
mappings_by_country,DE,3
mappings_by_country,EC,1
mappings_by_country,EE,3
mappings_by_country,ES,3
mappings_by_country,FR,4
mappings_by_country,GR,3
mappings_by_country,HR,4
mappings_by_country,IE,1
mappings_by_country,IL,2
mappings_by_country,IT,8
mappings_by_country,LK,3
mappings_by_country,LT,4
mappings_by_country,LU,1
mappings_by_country,LV,6
mappings_by_country,MD,1
mappings_by_country,ME,1
mappings_by_country,MX,2
mappings_by_country,NL,1
mappings_by_country,NZ,1
mappings_by_country,PE,1
mappings_by_country,PL,3
mappings_by_country,RO,6
mappings_by_country,RS,3
mappings_by_country,SK,4
mappings_by_country,UY,1
mappings_by_status,implemented,106
1 metric category value
2 constituent_mappings all 106
3 unique_union_or_alliance_ids all 76
4 unique_constituent_party_ids all 100
5 mappings_by_country AR 5
6 mappings_by_country AU 2
7 mappings_by_country BA 1
8 mappings_by_country BE 4
9 mappings_by_country BG 5
10 mappings_by_country BR 6
11 mappings_by_country CH 1
12 mappings_by_country CL 8
13 mappings_by_country CZ 4
14 mappings_by_country DE 3
15 mappings_by_country EC 1
16 mappings_by_country EE 3
17 mappings_by_country ES 3
18 mappings_by_country FR 4
19 mappings_by_country GR 3
20 mappings_by_country HR 4
21 mappings_by_country IE 1
22 mappings_by_country IL 2
23 mappings_by_country IT 8
24 mappings_by_country LK 3
25 mappings_by_country LT 4
26 mappings_by_country LU 1
27 mappings_by_country LV 6
28 mappings_by_country MD 1
29 mappings_by_country ME 1
30 mappings_by_country MX 2
31 mappings_by_country NL 1
32 mappings_by_country NZ 1
33 mappings_by_country PE 1
34 mappings_by_country PL 3
35 mappings_by_country RO 6
36 mappings_by_country RS 3
37 mappings_by_country SK 4
38 mappings_by_country UY 1
39 mappings_by_status implemented 106
diagnostics/generated/construct_family_positions.csv
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family,n_parties,n_obs,mean_economic,sd_economic,mean_cultural,sd_cultural,family_name
com,49,1241,0.12001647469327872,0.0901861773223108,0.3834027613298184,0.18041637351915937,Communist/Far Left
eco,30,723,0.26720980626115975,0.11467133878653364,0.2514849926574344,0.09223964864606182,Green/Ecological
soc,86,2892,0.3305567447692131,0.1240506242334158,0.3777170994931328,0.13783788204153472,Social Democratic
chr,41,1596,0.5961213268671609,0.11930537492981286,0.5293978691891922,0.13964161332639527,Christian Democratic
right,50,975,0.6222552715406671,0.18991001824381296,0.720426765976975,0.15147355617267264,Radical Right
con,82,2425,0.6519453485719768,0.17791542785462533,0.5375091531921928,0.14258881749137706,Conservative
lib,81,2063,0.6569946895012412,0.15224833699588255,0.37069062594934565,0.13158056834168683,Liberal
1 family n_parties n_obs mean_economic sd_economic mean_cultural sd_cultural family_name
2 com 49 1241 0.12001647469327872 0.0901861773223108 0.3834027613298184 0.18041637351915937 Communist/Far Left
3 eco 30 723 0.26720980626115975 0.11467133878653364 0.2514849926574344 0.09223964864606182 Green/Ecological
4 soc 86 2892 0.3305567447692131 0.1240506242334158 0.3777170994931328 0.13783788204153472 Social Democratic
5 chr 41 1596 0.5961213268671609 0.11930537492981286 0.5293978691891922 0.13964161332639527 Christian Democratic
6 right 50 975 0.6222552715406671 0.18991001824381296 0.720426765976975 0.15147355617267264 Radical Right
7 con 82 2425 0.6519453485719768 0.17791542785462533 0.5375091531921928 0.14258881749137706 Conservative
8 lib 81 2063 0.6569946895012412 0.15224833699588255 0.37069062594934565 0.13158056834168683 Liberal
diagnostics/generated/construct_temporal_stability_flags.csv
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party_id,country,dimension,year_from,year_to,val_from,val_to,change,annual_change
556,LT,cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist,2019,2020,0.77107951125,0.5289456789999999,0.24213383225000007,0.24213383225000007
1663,IL,cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist,2021,2022,0.1423029388125,0.35615504375,0.2138521049375,0.2138521049375
455,IL,cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist,1997,1998,0.456850958125,0.6432782493750001,0.18642729125000007,0.18642729125000007
455,IL,cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist,1996,1997,0.27663313025,0.456850958125,0.180217827875,0.180217827875
8393,LV,cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist,2018,2019,0.4386382122500001,0.2627366591625,0.17590155308750005,0.17590155308750005
281,BE,cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist,1977,1978,0.6706878695,0.843416257375,0.172728387875,0.172728387875
556,LT,cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist,2001,2002,0.318926108375,0.49125159325,0.172325484875,0.172325484875
964,IS,economic left-right,2016,2017,0.691268056,0.520838928125,0.17042912787499995,0.17042912787499995
298,NL,cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist,2018,2019,0.760919900625,0.592874692125,0.16804520850000004,0.16804520850000004
901,FI,economic left-right,1992,1993,0.486145510375,0.64721287575,0.161067365375,0.161067365375
467,SI,cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist,2018,2019,0.563748886625,0.4041139849999999,0.15963490162500005,0.15963490162500005
1221,IT,economic left-right,2007,2008,0.559621162375,0.400493563,0.15912759937500004,0.15912759937500004
901,FI,economic left-right,1991,1992,0.327277968125,0.486145510375,0.15886754225,0.15886754225
455,IL,cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist,1998,1999,0.6432782493750001,0.7970417803750001,0.15376353099999995,0.15376353099999995
1221,IT,economic left-right,2006,2007,0.7086087693750001,0.559621162375,0.14898760700000002,0.14898760700000002
2211,UA,economic left-right,2006,2007,0.416653024,0.5619799204999999,0.1453268964999999,0.1453268964999999
631,CH,economic left-right,2018,2019,0.613235049875,0.7569515025,0.143716452625,0.143716452625
298,NL,cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist,2019,2020,0.592874692125,0.734536642,0.14166194987500005,0.14166194987500005
556,LT,cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist,2000,2001,0.180505337875,0.318926108375,0.1384207705,0.1384207705
1417,IL,cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist,1968,1969,0.49841048887499995,0.635275993875,0.13686550500000003,0.13686550500000003
81,ES,cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist,1999,2000,0.44213168437499994,0.30819645050000005,0.1339352338749999,0.1339352338749999
1417,IL,cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist,1967,1968,0.364764852,0.49841048887499995,0.13364563687499997,0.13364563687499997
901,FI,economic left-right,1993,1994,0.64721287575,0.78024709825,0.13303422250000008,0.13303422250000008
409,SE,economic left-right,2018,2019,0.4993397851250001,0.6246204093750001,0.12528062425000003,0.12528062425000003
48,GR,cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist,1999,2000,0.471858772375,0.594323158,0.122464385625,0.122464385625
212,DK,cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist,2014,2015,0.339423171125,0.459806116125,0.12038294500000002,0.12038294500000002
2415,IT,cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist,2006,2007,0.6143681051250001,0.49546903375,0.11889907137500004,0.11889907137500004
1369,IT,cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist,2013,2014,0.7406959332499999,0.6231419237500002,0.11755400949999972,0.11755400949999972
5852,IS,cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist,2018,2019,0.336059923125,0.45280653625,0.116746613125,0.116746613125
1417,IL,cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist,1966,1967,0.2487840847,0.364764852,0.11598076729999995,0.11598076729999995
828,NL,cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist,2019,2020,0.399398152875,0.5144400794999999,0.11504192662499996,0.11504192662499996
2415,IT,cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist,2007,2008,0.49546903375,0.3804985986625,0.1149704350875,0.1149704350875
828,NL,cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist,2020,2021,0.5144400794999999,0.6280684987500001,0.11362841925000022,0.11362841925000022
573,DE,cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist,2024,2025,0.34241723825000003,0.4558404575,0.11342321924999998,0.11342321924999998
1424,BE,economic left-right,1977,1978,0.7125746831249999,0.825810219125,0.11323553600000004,0.11323553600000004
1173,NO,cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist,2018,2019,0.353365422125,0.46349993075,0.11013450862499996,0.11013450862499996
1651,GR,economic left-right,2013,2014,0.441388039625,0.551427035875,0.11003899624999997,0.11003899624999997
1660,GR,cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist,2012,2013,0.70537148075,0.8146704603749999,0.1092989796249999,0.1092989796249999
433,FR,economic left-right,2018,2019,0.433590134625,0.542142367875,0.10855223325000002,0.10855223325000002
1002,GB,cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist,2014,2015,0.3184758865,0.2101810030625,0.10829488343750002,0.10829488343750002
623,AR,economic left-right,1989,1990,0.4145806991249999,0.5228341057499999,0.10825340662499994,0.10825340662499994
1305,RO,economic left-right,2000,2001,0.553705481625,0.446037918375,0.10766756325,0.10766756325
298,NL,cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist,2020,2021,0.734536642,0.84215486075,0.10761821875,0.10761821875
1359,PT,economic left-right,2004,2005,0.495169041875,0.602184326875,0.10701528500000002,0.10701528500000002
1651,GR,economic left-right,2012,2013,0.3355888995,0.441388039625,0.10579914012500002,0.10579914012500002
623,AR,economic left-right,1990,1991,0.5228341057499999,0.62815575375,0.1053216480000001,0.1053216480000001
1305,RO,economic left-right,2001,2002,0.446037918375,0.3412955855,0.104742332875,0.104742332875
455,IL,cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist,1991,1992,0.5368312063749999,0.432172542875,0.10465866349999992,0.10465866349999992
2415,IT,cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist,2008,2009,0.3804985986625,0.2762634036875,0.104235194975,0.104235194975
599,AT,economic left-right,2008,2009,0.4633838822500001,0.567595171125,0.10421128887499996,0.10421128887499996
669,CH,cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist,2016,2017,0.514819538625,0.410640874875,0.10417866374999996,0.10417866374999996
5852,IS,cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist,2017,2018,0.23270289265,0.336059923125,0.10335703047499996,0.10335703047499996
669,CH,cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist,2015,2016,0.617986882875,0.514819538625,0.10316734425000008,0.10316734425000008
48,GR,cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist,2010,2011,0.569647428,0.6723034049999999,0.10265597699999984,0.10265597699999984
1221,IT,economic left-right,2008,2009,0.400493563,0.50303734575,0.10254378275000003,0.10254378275000003
1651,GR,economic left-right,2014,2015,0.551427035875,0.6535508147500001,0.10212377887500013,0.10212377887500013
1221,IT,economic left-right,2009,2010,0.50303734575,0.604409204875,0.10137185912500002,0.10137185912500002
975,SI,economic left-right,1990,1991,0.579305296625,0.6803467895000002,0.1010414928750002,0.1010414928750002
338,AU,economic left-right,1992,1993,0.791994626125,0.6916490538750002,0.10034557224999983,0.10034557224999983
1 party_id country dimension year_from year_to val_from val_to change annual_change
2 556 LT cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist 2019 2020 0.77107951125 0.5289456789999999 0.24213383225000007 0.24213383225000007
3 1663 IL cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist 2021 2022 0.1423029388125 0.35615504375 0.2138521049375 0.2138521049375
4 455 IL cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist 1997 1998 0.456850958125 0.6432782493750001 0.18642729125000007 0.18642729125000007
5 455 IL cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist 1996 1997 0.27663313025 0.456850958125 0.180217827875 0.180217827875
6 8393 LV cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist 2018 2019 0.4386382122500001 0.2627366591625 0.17590155308750005 0.17590155308750005
7 281 BE cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist 1977 1978 0.6706878695 0.843416257375 0.172728387875 0.172728387875
8 556 LT cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist 2001 2002 0.318926108375 0.49125159325 0.172325484875 0.172325484875
9 964 IS economic left-right 2016 2017 0.691268056 0.520838928125 0.17042912787499995 0.17042912787499995
10 298 NL cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist 2018 2019 0.760919900625 0.592874692125 0.16804520850000004 0.16804520850000004
11 901 FI economic left-right 1992 1993 0.486145510375 0.64721287575 0.161067365375 0.161067365375
12 467 SI cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist 2018 2019 0.563748886625 0.4041139849999999 0.15963490162500005 0.15963490162500005
13 1221 IT economic left-right 2007 2008 0.559621162375 0.400493563 0.15912759937500004 0.15912759937500004
14 901 FI economic left-right 1991 1992 0.327277968125 0.486145510375 0.15886754225 0.15886754225
15 455 IL cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist 1998 1999 0.6432782493750001 0.7970417803750001 0.15376353099999995 0.15376353099999995
16 1221 IT economic left-right 2006 2007 0.7086087693750001 0.559621162375 0.14898760700000002 0.14898760700000002
17 2211 UA economic left-right 2006 2007 0.416653024 0.5619799204999999 0.1453268964999999 0.1453268964999999
18 631 CH economic left-right 2018 2019 0.613235049875 0.7569515025 0.143716452625 0.143716452625
19 298 NL cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist 2019 2020 0.592874692125 0.734536642 0.14166194987500005 0.14166194987500005
20 556 LT cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist 2000 2001 0.180505337875 0.318926108375 0.1384207705 0.1384207705
21 1417 IL cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist 1968 1969 0.49841048887499995 0.635275993875 0.13686550500000003 0.13686550500000003
22 81 ES cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist 1999 2000 0.44213168437499994 0.30819645050000005 0.1339352338749999 0.1339352338749999
23 1417 IL cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist 1967 1968 0.364764852 0.49841048887499995 0.13364563687499997 0.13364563687499997
24 901 FI economic left-right 1993 1994 0.64721287575 0.78024709825 0.13303422250000008 0.13303422250000008
25 409 SE economic left-right 2018 2019 0.4993397851250001 0.6246204093750001 0.12528062425000003 0.12528062425000003
26 48 GR cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist 1999 2000 0.471858772375 0.594323158 0.122464385625 0.122464385625
27 212 DK cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist 2014 2015 0.339423171125 0.459806116125 0.12038294500000002 0.12038294500000002
28 2415 IT cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist 2006 2007 0.6143681051250001 0.49546903375 0.11889907137500004 0.11889907137500004
29 1369 IT cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist 2013 2014 0.7406959332499999 0.6231419237500002 0.11755400949999972 0.11755400949999972
30 5852 IS cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist 2018 2019 0.336059923125 0.45280653625 0.116746613125 0.116746613125
31 1417 IL cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist 1966 1967 0.2487840847 0.364764852 0.11598076729999995 0.11598076729999995
32 828 NL cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist 2019 2020 0.399398152875 0.5144400794999999 0.11504192662499996 0.11504192662499996
33 2415 IT cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist 2007 2008 0.49546903375 0.3804985986625 0.1149704350875 0.1149704350875
34 828 NL cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist 2020 2021 0.5144400794999999 0.6280684987500001 0.11362841925000022 0.11362841925000022
35 573 DE cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist 2024 2025 0.34241723825000003 0.4558404575 0.11342321924999998 0.11342321924999998
36 1424 BE economic left-right 1977 1978 0.7125746831249999 0.825810219125 0.11323553600000004 0.11323553600000004
37 1173 NO cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist 2018 2019 0.353365422125 0.46349993075 0.11013450862499996 0.11013450862499996
38 1651 GR economic left-right 2013 2014 0.441388039625 0.551427035875 0.11003899624999997 0.11003899624999997
39 1660 GR cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist 2012 2013 0.70537148075 0.8146704603749999 0.1092989796249999 0.1092989796249999
40 433 FR economic left-right 2018 2019 0.433590134625 0.542142367875 0.10855223325000002 0.10855223325000002
41 1002 GB cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist 2014 2015 0.3184758865 0.2101810030625 0.10829488343750002 0.10829488343750002
42 623 AR economic left-right 1989 1990 0.4145806991249999 0.5228341057499999 0.10825340662499994 0.10825340662499994
43 1305 RO economic left-right 2000 2001 0.553705481625 0.446037918375 0.10766756325 0.10766756325
44 298 NL cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist 2020 2021 0.734536642 0.84215486075 0.10761821875 0.10761821875
45 1359 PT economic left-right 2004 2005 0.495169041875 0.602184326875 0.10701528500000002 0.10701528500000002
46 1651 GR economic left-right 2012 2013 0.3355888995 0.441388039625 0.10579914012500002 0.10579914012500002
47 623 AR economic left-right 1990 1991 0.5228341057499999 0.62815575375 0.1053216480000001 0.1053216480000001
48 1305 RO economic left-right 2001 2002 0.446037918375 0.3412955855 0.104742332875 0.104742332875
49 455 IL cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist 1991 1992 0.5368312063749999 0.432172542875 0.10465866349999992 0.10465866349999992
50 2415 IT cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist 2008 2009 0.3804985986625 0.2762634036875 0.104235194975 0.104235194975
51 599 AT economic left-right 2008 2009 0.4633838822500001 0.567595171125 0.10421128887499996 0.10421128887499996
52 669 CH cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist 2016 2017 0.514819538625 0.410640874875 0.10417866374999996 0.10417866374999996
53 5852 IS cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist 2017 2018 0.23270289265 0.336059923125 0.10335703047499996 0.10335703047499996
54 669 CH cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist 2015 2016 0.617986882875 0.514819538625 0.10316734425000008 0.10316734425000008
55 48 GR cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist 2010 2011 0.569647428 0.6723034049999999 0.10265597699999984 0.10265597699999984
56 1221 IT economic left-right 2008 2009 0.400493563 0.50303734575 0.10254378275000003 0.10254378275000003
57 1651 GR economic left-right 2014 2015 0.551427035875 0.6535508147500001 0.10212377887500013 0.10212377887500013
58 1221 IT economic left-right 2009 2010 0.50303734575 0.604409204875 0.10137185912500002 0.10137185912500002
59 975 SI economic left-right 1990 1991 0.579305296625 0.6803467895000002 0.1010414928750002 0.1010414928750002
60 338 AU economic left-right 1992 1993 0.791994626125 0.6916490538750002 0.10034557224999983 0.10034557224999983
diagnostics/generated/diagnostics_report.pdf
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diagnostics/generated/external_validation_correlations.csv
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var,dimension,n,pearson_r,mean_absolute_error,coverage_95
culsup_vparty,cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist,536,0.8121247297636631,0.12821713597308768,0.3843283582089552
galtan_ches,cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist,222,0.9588005926603757,0.07875607868037135,0.5225225225225225
gender_vparty,cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist,545,0.5626122704047269,0.16947520363543578,0.28990825688073396
immig_vparty,cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist,537,0.7429394940511392,0.10311559715251396,0.4897579143389199
lgbt_vparty,cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist,541,0.7941178030023652,0.09410224229993068,0.5508317929759704
relig_vparty,cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist,548,0.6757229503671286,0.30309927660661495,0.04744525547445255
lrecon_ches,economic left-right,223,0.9739626905522167,0.05518814853885153,0.8116591928251121
lrecon_poppa,economic left-right,74,0.9799670973969279,0.0660246477855859,0.6621621621621622
lrecon_vparty,economic left-right,534,0.8664105550524236,0.08828332773956499,0.6741573033707865
welf_vparty,economic left-right,534,0.6821895613302613,0.17587920065205523,0.36329588014981273
1 var dimension n pearson_r mean_absolute_error coverage_95
2 culsup_vparty cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist 536 0.8121247297636631 0.12821713597308768 0.3843283582089552
3 galtan_ches cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist 222 0.9588005926603757 0.07875607868037135 0.5225225225225225
4 gender_vparty cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist 545 0.5626122704047269 0.16947520363543578 0.28990825688073396
5 immig_vparty cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist 537 0.7429394940511392 0.10311559715251396 0.4897579143389199
6 lgbt_vparty cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist 541 0.7941178030023652 0.09410224229993068 0.5508317929759704
7 relig_vparty cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist 548 0.6757229503671286 0.30309927660661495 0.04744525547445255
8 lrecon_ches economic left-right 223 0.9739626905522167 0.05518814853885153 0.8116591928251121
9 lrecon_poppa economic left-right 74 0.9799670973969279 0.0660246477855859 0.6621621621621622
10 lrecon_vparty economic left-right 534 0.8664105550524236 0.08828332773956499 0.6741573033707865
11 welf_vparty economic left-right 534 0.6821895613302613 0.17587920065205523 0.36329588014981273
diagnostics/generated/item_coding_orientation.csv
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source_file,item,source,dimension,type_low,type_high,higher_values_indicate,reversed_for_reporting,observations,party_years,parties,countries,min_year,max_year
expert.csv,galtan_ches,CHES,cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist,cosmopolitan,traditional,traditional,no,1319,1319,389,44,1999,2024
expert.csv,lrecon_ches,CHES,economic left-right,pro_welfare,pro_market,pro_market,no,1320,1320,390,44,1999,2024
expert.csv,libcon_gps,GPS,cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist,cosmopolitan,traditional,traditional,no,269,269,269,61,2019,2019
expert.csv,lrecon_gps,GPS,economic left-right,pro_welfare,pro_market,pro_market,no,269,269,269,62,2019,2019
expert.csv,lrecon_poppa,POPPA,economic left-right,pro_welfare,pro_market,pro_market,no,413,413,225,31,2018,2023
expert.csv,culsup_vparty,V-Party,cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist,cosmopolitan,traditional,traditional,no,3076,3076,589,65,1970,2019
expert.csv,gender_vparty,V-Party,cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist,cosmopolitan,traditional,traditional,no,3043,3043,586,65,1970,2019
expert.csv,immig_vparty,V-Party,cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist,cosmopolitan,traditional,traditional,no,3076,3076,589,65,1970,2019
expert.csv,lgbt_vparty,V-Party,cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist,cosmopolitan,traditional,traditional,no,3076,3076,589,65,1970,2019
expert.csv,relig_vparty,V-Party,cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist,cosmopolitan,traditional,traditional,no,3076,3076,589,65,1970,2019
expert.csv,lrecon_vparty,V-Party,economic left-right,pro_welfare,pro_market,pro_market,no,3075,3075,588,65,1970,2019
expert.csv,welf_vparty,V-Party,economic left-right,pro_welfare,pro_market,pro_market,no,3066,3066,585,65,1970,2019
lr_data.csv,lr_ches,CHES,general left-right,NA,NA,source-coded left-right,no,1320,1320,390,44,1999,2024
lr_data.csv,lr_morgan,Morgan,general left-right,NA,NA,source-coded left-right,no,471,471,72,11,1945,1973
lr_data.csv,lr_poppa,POPPA,general left-right,NA,NA,source-coded left-right,no,416,416,225,31,2018,2023
text_data.csv,conservative_morality_manifesto,Manifesto Project,cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist,cosmopolitan,traditional,traditional,no,4501,4501,713,65,1920,2025
text_data.csv,internationalism_manifesto,Manifesto Project,cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist,traditional,cosmopolitan,cosmopolitan,yes,4501,4501,713,65,1920,2025
text_data.csv,multiculturalism_manifesto,Manifesto Project,cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist,traditional,cosmopolitan,cosmopolitan,yes,4501,4501,713,65,1920,2025
text_data.csv,national_identity_manifesto,Manifesto Project,cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist,cosmopolitan,traditional,traditional,no,4501,4501,713,65,1920,2025
text_data.csv,economic_intervention_manifesto,Manifesto Project,economic left-right,pro_market,pro_welfare,pro_welfare,yes,4501,4501,713,65,1920,2025
text_data.csv,economic_liberalization_manifesto,Manifesto Project,economic left-right,pro_welfare,pro_market,pro_market,no,4501,4501,713,65,1920,2025
text_data.csv,market_regulation_manifesto,Manifesto Project,economic left-right,pro_welfare,pro_market,pro_market,no,4501,4501,713,65,1920,2025
text_data.csv,social_services_manifesto,Manifesto Project,economic left-right,pro_market,pro_welfare,pro_welfare,yes,4501,4501,713,65,1920,2025
text_data.csv,cultlib_poldem,PolDem,cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist,traditional,cosmopolitan,cosmopolitan,yes,299,299,78,15,1972,2017
text_data.csv,defense_poldem,PolDem,cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist,cosmopolitan,traditional,traditional,no,243,243,67,15,1972,2017
text_data.csv,euro_poldem,PolDem,cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist,traditional,cosmopolitan,cosmopolitan,yes,93,93,44,13,1978,2017
text_data.csv,europe_poldem,PolDem,cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist,traditional,cosmopolitan,cosmopolitan,yes,217,217,66,15,1972,2017
text_data.csv,immig_poldem,PolDem,cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist,traditional,cosmopolitan,cosmopolitan,yes,236,236,67,14,1972,2017
text_data.csv,nationalism_poldem,PolDem,cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist,cosmopolitan,traditional,traditional,no,131,131,60,15,1974,2017
text_data.csv,security_poldem,PolDem,cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist,cosmopolitan,traditional,traditional,no,265,265,78,15,1972,2017
text_data.csv,ecolib_poldem,PolDem,economic left-right,pro_welfare,pro_market,pro_market,no,361,361,85,15,1972,2017
text_data.csv,welfare_poldem,PolDem,economic left-right,pro_market,pro_welfare,pro_welfare,yes,349,349,83,15,1972,2017
1 source_file item source dimension type_low type_high higher_values_indicate reversed_for_reporting observations party_years parties countries min_year max_year
2 expert.csv galtan_ches CHES cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist cosmopolitan traditional traditional no 1319 1319 389 44 1999 2024
3 expert.csv lrecon_ches CHES economic left-right pro_welfare pro_market pro_market no 1320 1320 390 44 1999 2024
4 expert.csv libcon_gps GPS cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist cosmopolitan traditional traditional no 269 269 269 61 2019 2019
5 expert.csv lrecon_gps GPS economic left-right pro_welfare pro_market pro_market no 269 269 269 62 2019 2019
6 expert.csv lrecon_poppa POPPA economic left-right pro_welfare pro_market pro_market no 413 413 225 31 2018 2023
7 expert.csv culsup_vparty V-Party cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist cosmopolitan traditional traditional no 3076 3076 589 65 1970 2019
8 expert.csv gender_vparty V-Party cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist cosmopolitan traditional traditional no 3043 3043 586 65 1970 2019
9 expert.csv immig_vparty V-Party cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist cosmopolitan traditional traditional no 3076 3076 589 65 1970 2019
10 expert.csv lgbt_vparty V-Party cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist cosmopolitan traditional traditional no 3076 3076 589 65 1970 2019
11 expert.csv relig_vparty V-Party cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist cosmopolitan traditional traditional no 3076 3076 589 65 1970 2019
12 expert.csv lrecon_vparty V-Party economic left-right pro_welfare pro_market pro_market no 3075 3075 588 65 1970 2019
13 expert.csv welf_vparty V-Party economic left-right pro_welfare pro_market pro_market no 3066 3066 585 65 1970 2019
14 lr_data.csv lr_ches CHES general left-right NA NA source-coded left-right no 1320 1320 390 44 1999 2024
15 lr_data.csv lr_morgan Morgan general left-right NA NA source-coded left-right no 471 471 72 11 1945 1973
16 lr_data.csv lr_poppa POPPA general left-right NA NA source-coded left-right no 416 416 225 31 2018 2023
17 text_data.csv conservative_morality_manifesto Manifesto Project cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist cosmopolitan traditional traditional no 4501 4501 713 65 1920 2025
18 text_data.csv internationalism_manifesto Manifesto Project cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist traditional cosmopolitan cosmopolitan yes 4501 4501 713 65 1920 2025
19 text_data.csv multiculturalism_manifesto Manifesto Project cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist traditional cosmopolitan cosmopolitan yes 4501 4501 713 65 1920 2025
20 text_data.csv national_identity_manifesto Manifesto Project cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist cosmopolitan traditional traditional no 4501 4501 713 65 1920 2025
21 text_data.csv economic_intervention_manifesto Manifesto Project economic left-right pro_market pro_welfare pro_welfare yes 4501 4501 713 65 1920 2025
22 text_data.csv economic_liberalization_manifesto Manifesto Project economic left-right pro_welfare pro_market pro_market no 4501 4501 713 65 1920 2025
23 text_data.csv market_regulation_manifesto Manifesto Project economic left-right pro_welfare pro_market pro_market no 4501 4501 713 65 1920 2025
24 text_data.csv social_services_manifesto Manifesto Project economic left-right pro_market pro_welfare pro_welfare yes 4501 4501 713 65 1920 2025
25 text_data.csv cultlib_poldem PolDem cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist traditional cosmopolitan cosmopolitan yes 299 299 78 15 1972 2017
26 text_data.csv defense_poldem PolDem cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist cosmopolitan traditional traditional no 243 243 67 15 1972 2017
27 text_data.csv euro_poldem PolDem cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist traditional cosmopolitan cosmopolitan yes 93 93 44 13 1978 2017
28 text_data.csv europe_poldem PolDem cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist traditional cosmopolitan cosmopolitan yes 217 217 66 15 1972 2017
29 text_data.csv immig_poldem PolDem cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist traditional cosmopolitan cosmopolitan yes 236 236 67 14 1972 2017
30 text_data.csv nationalism_poldem PolDem cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist cosmopolitan traditional traditional no 131 131 60 15 1974 2017
31 text_data.csv security_poldem PolDem cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist cosmopolitan traditional traditional no 265 265 78 15 1972 2017
32 text_data.csv ecolib_poldem PolDem economic left-right pro_welfare pro_market pro_market no 361 361 85 15 1972 2017
33 text_data.csv welfare_poldem PolDem economic left-right pro_market pro_welfare pro_welfare yes 349 349 83 15 1972 2017
diagnostics/generated/item_coverage.csv
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source_file,item,source,dimension,type_low,type_high,higher_values_indicate,reversed_for_reporting,observations,party_years,parties,countries,min_year,max_year
expert.csv,galtan_ches,CHES,cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist,cosmopolitan,traditional,traditional,no,1319,1319,389,44,1999,2024
expert.csv,lrecon_ches,CHES,economic left-right,pro_welfare,pro_market,pro_market,no,1320,1320,390,44,1999,2024
expert.csv,libcon_gps,GPS,cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist,cosmopolitan,traditional,traditional,no,269,269,269,61,2019,2019
expert.csv,lrecon_gps,GPS,economic left-right,pro_welfare,pro_market,pro_market,no,269,269,269,62,2019,2019
expert.csv,lrecon_poppa,POPPA,economic left-right,pro_welfare,pro_market,pro_market,no,413,413,225,31,2018,2023
expert.csv,culsup_vparty,V-Party,cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist,cosmopolitan,traditional,traditional,no,3076,3076,589,65,1970,2019
expert.csv,gender_vparty,V-Party,cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist,cosmopolitan,traditional,traditional,no,3043,3043,586,65,1970,2019
expert.csv,immig_vparty,V-Party,cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist,cosmopolitan,traditional,traditional,no,3076,3076,589,65,1970,2019
expert.csv,lgbt_vparty,V-Party,cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist,cosmopolitan,traditional,traditional,no,3076,3076,589,65,1970,2019
expert.csv,relig_vparty,V-Party,cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist,cosmopolitan,traditional,traditional,no,3076,3076,589,65,1970,2019
expert.csv,lrecon_vparty,V-Party,economic left-right,pro_welfare,pro_market,pro_market,no,3075,3075,588,65,1970,2019
expert.csv,welf_vparty,V-Party,economic left-right,pro_welfare,pro_market,pro_market,no,3066,3066,585,65,1970,2019
lr_data.csv,lr_ches,CHES,general left-right,NA,NA,source-coded left-right,no,1320,1320,390,44,1999,2024
lr_data.csv,lr_morgan,Morgan,general left-right,NA,NA,source-coded left-right,no,471,471,72,11,1945,1973
lr_data.csv,lr_poppa,POPPA,general left-right,NA,NA,source-coded left-right,no,416,416,225,31,2018,2023
text_data.csv,conservative_morality_manifesto,Manifesto Project,cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist,cosmopolitan,traditional,traditional,no,4501,4501,713,65,1920,2025
text_data.csv,internationalism_manifesto,Manifesto Project,cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist,traditional,cosmopolitan,cosmopolitan,yes,4501,4501,713,65,1920,2025
text_data.csv,multiculturalism_manifesto,Manifesto Project,cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist,traditional,cosmopolitan,cosmopolitan,yes,4501,4501,713,65,1920,2025
text_data.csv,national_identity_manifesto,Manifesto Project,cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist,cosmopolitan,traditional,traditional,no,4501,4501,713,65,1920,2025
text_data.csv,economic_intervention_manifesto,Manifesto Project,economic left-right,pro_market,pro_welfare,pro_welfare,yes,4501,4501,713,65,1920,2025
text_data.csv,economic_liberalization_manifesto,Manifesto Project,economic left-right,pro_welfare,pro_market,pro_market,no,4501,4501,713,65,1920,2025
text_data.csv,market_regulation_manifesto,Manifesto Project,economic left-right,pro_welfare,pro_market,pro_market,no,4501,4501,713,65,1920,2025
text_data.csv,social_services_manifesto,Manifesto Project,economic left-right,pro_market,pro_welfare,pro_welfare,yes,4501,4501,713,65,1920,2025
text_data.csv,cultlib_poldem,PolDem,cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist,traditional,cosmopolitan,cosmopolitan,yes,299,299,78,15,1972,2017
text_data.csv,defense_poldem,PolDem,cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist,cosmopolitan,traditional,traditional,no,243,243,67,15,1972,2017
text_data.csv,euro_poldem,PolDem,cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist,traditional,cosmopolitan,cosmopolitan,yes,93,93,44,13,1978,2017
text_data.csv,europe_poldem,PolDem,cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist,traditional,cosmopolitan,cosmopolitan,yes,217,217,66,15,1972,2017
text_data.csv,immig_poldem,PolDem,cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist,traditional,cosmopolitan,cosmopolitan,yes,236,236,67,14,1972,2017
text_data.csv,nationalism_poldem,PolDem,cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist,cosmopolitan,traditional,traditional,no,131,131,60,15,1974,2017
text_data.csv,security_poldem,PolDem,cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist,cosmopolitan,traditional,traditional,no,265,265,78,15,1972,2017
text_data.csv,ecolib_poldem,PolDem,economic left-right,pro_welfare,pro_market,pro_market,no,361,361,85,15,1972,2017
text_data.csv,welfare_poldem,PolDem,economic left-right,pro_market,pro_welfare,pro_welfare,yes,349,349,83,15,1972,2017
1 source_file item source dimension type_low type_high higher_values_indicate reversed_for_reporting observations party_years parties countries min_year max_year
2 expert.csv galtan_ches CHES cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist cosmopolitan traditional traditional no 1319 1319 389 44 1999 2024
3 expert.csv lrecon_ches CHES economic left-right pro_welfare pro_market pro_market no 1320 1320 390 44 1999 2024
4 expert.csv libcon_gps GPS cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist cosmopolitan traditional traditional no 269 269 269 61 2019 2019
5 expert.csv lrecon_gps GPS economic left-right pro_welfare pro_market pro_market no 269 269 269 62 2019 2019
6 expert.csv lrecon_poppa POPPA economic left-right pro_welfare pro_market pro_market no 413 413 225 31 2018 2023
7 expert.csv culsup_vparty V-Party cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist cosmopolitan traditional traditional no 3076 3076 589 65 1970 2019
8 expert.csv gender_vparty V-Party cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist cosmopolitan traditional traditional no 3043 3043 586 65 1970 2019
9 expert.csv immig_vparty V-Party cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist cosmopolitan traditional traditional no 3076 3076 589 65 1970 2019
10 expert.csv lgbt_vparty V-Party cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist cosmopolitan traditional traditional no 3076 3076 589 65 1970 2019
11 expert.csv relig_vparty V-Party cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist cosmopolitan traditional traditional no 3076 3076 589 65 1970 2019
12 expert.csv lrecon_vparty V-Party economic left-right pro_welfare pro_market pro_market no 3075 3075 588 65 1970 2019
13 expert.csv welf_vparty V-Party economic left-right pro_welfare pro_market pro_market no 3066 3066 585 65 1970 2019
14 lr_data.csv lr_ches CHES general left-right NA NA source-coded left-right no 1320 1320 390 44 1999 2024
15 lr_data.csv lr_morgan Morgan general left-right NA NA source-coded left-right no 471 471 72 11 1945 1973
16 lr_data.csv lr_poppa POPPA general left-right NA NA source-coded left-right no 416 416 225 31 2018 2023
17 text_data.csv conservative_morality_manifesto Manifesto Project cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist cosmopolitan traditional traditional no 4501 4501 713 65 1920 2025
18 text_data.csv internationalism_manifesto Manifesto Project cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist traditional cosmopolitan cosmopolitan yes 4501 4501 713 65 1920 2025
19 text_data.csv multiculturalism_manifesto Manifesto Project cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist traditional cosmopolitan cosmopolitan yes 4501 4501 713 65 1920 2025
20 text_data.csv national_identity_manifesto Manifesto Project cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist cosmopolitan traditional traditional no 4501 4501 713 65 1920 2025
21 text_data.csv economic_intervention_manifesto Manifesto Project economic left-right pro_market pro_welfare pro_welfare yes 4501 4501 713 65 1920 2025
22 text_data.csv economic_liberalization_manifesto Manifesto Project economic left-right pro_welfare pro_market pro_market no 4501 4501 713 65 1920 2025
23 text_data.csv market_regulation_manifesto Manifesto Project economic left-right pro_welfare pro_market pro_market no 4501 4501 713 65 1920 2025
24 text_data.csv social_services_manifesto Manifesto Project economic left-right pro_market pro_welfare pro_welfare yes 4501 4501 713 65 1920 2025
25 text_data.csv cultlib_poldem PolDem cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist traditional cosmopolitan cosmopolitan yes 299 299 78 15 1972 2017
26 text_data.csv defense_poldem PolDem cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist cosmopolitan traditional traditional no 243 243 67 15 1972 2017
27 text_data.csv euro_poldem PolDem cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist traditional cosmopolitan cosmopolitan yes 93 93 44 13 1978 2017
28 text_data.csv europe_poldem PolDem cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist traditional cosmopolitan cosmopolitan yes 217 217 66 15 1972 2017
29 text_data.csv immig_poldem PolDem cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist traditional cosmopolitan cosmopolitan yes 236 236 67 14 1972 2017
30 text_data.csv nationalism_poldem PolDem cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist cosmopolitan traditional traditional no 131 131 60 15 1974 2017
31 text_data.csv security_poldem PolDem cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist cosmopolitan traditional traditional no 265 265 78 15 1972 2017
32 text_data.csv ecolib_poldem PolDem economic left-right pro_welfare pro_market pro_market no 361 361 85 15 1972 2017
33 text_data.csv welfare_poldem PolDem economic left-right pro_market pro_welfare pro_welfare yes 349 349 83 15 1972 2017
diagnostics/generated/model_convergence_by_dimension.csv
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dimension,parameters,mean_rhat,max_rhat,min_ess_bulk,mean_ess_bulk
cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist,17585,1.0006424726753271,1.0063876592524996,810.5088684922246,6889.24553993031
economic left-right,17585,1.0003816350246089,1.0041031832256586,670.7084347577414,5573.455663381927
lr_country_offset,65,1.0007983450724103,1.0042741902159762,1078.1975001602086,5434.867801353405
lr_decade_offset,8,1.0003240812347383,1.0011721739400503,2069.6763143867825,3372.015629437053
lr_sigma,3,1.0010806271267045,1.001817706171186,1956.6110527635497,2582.401306906664
lr_source_offset,3,1.0001329930739762,1.0002839044194227,3477.5194916377077,3814.373810300655
lr_weight,3,1.0023083674707072,1.0023587853631075,1540.8061256188755,1560.2173784478186
mean_sigma,6,1.00453801817315,1.0092946499280384,534.8105812273362,918.5017536375844
1 dimension parameters mean_rhat max_rhat min_ess_bulk mean_ess_bulk
2 cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist 17585 1.0006424726753271 1.0063876592524996 810.5088684922246 6889.24553993031
3 economic left-right 17585 1.0003816350246089 1.0041031832256586 670.7084347577414 5573.455663381927
4 lr_country_offset 65 1.0007983450724103 1.0042741902159762 1078.1975001602086 5434.867801353405
5 lr_decade_offset 8 1.0003240812347383 1.0011721739400503 2069.6763143867825 3372.015629437053
6 lr_sigma 3 1.0010806271267045 1.001817706171186 1956.6110527635497 2582.401306906664
7 lr_source_offset 3 1.0001329930739762 1.0002839044194227 3477.5194916377077 3814.373810300655
8 lr_weight 3 1.0023083674707072 1.0023587853631075 1540.8061256188755 1560.2173784478186
9 mean_sigma 6 1.00453801817315 1.0092946499280384 534.8105812273362 918.5017536375844
diagnostics/generated/model_convergence_summary.csv
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metric,count,percentage
R-hat < 1.01,35258,100
R-hat 1.01-1.05,0,0
R-hat > 1.05,0,0
ESS > 1000,34853,98.85
ESS 400-1000,405,1.15
ESS < 400,0,0
1 metric count percentage
2 R-hat < 1.01 35258 100
3 R-hat 1.01-1.05 0 0
4 R-hat > 1.05 0 0
5 ESS > 1000 34853 98.85
6 ESS 400-1000 405 1.15
7 ESS < 400 0 0
diagnostics/generated/party_family_coverage.csv
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family,parties,party_years,countries,min_year,max_year
soc,86,2892,37,1944,2025
con,82,2425,34,1944,2024
lib,81,2063,35,1944,2025
chr,41,1596,24,1945,2025
com,49,1241,27,1944,2025
right,50,975,26,1946,2025
eco,30,723,24,1960,2024
agr,12,592,10,1944,2024
spec,25,520,14,1949,2024
other,2,40,2,1992,2024
1 family parties party_years countries min_year max_year
2 soc 86 2892 37 1944 2025
3 con 82 2425 34 1944 2024
4 lib 81 2063 35 1944 2025
5 chr 41 1596 24 1945 2025
6 com 49 1241 27 1944 2025
7 right 50 975 26 1946 2025
8 eco 30 723 24 1960 2024
9 agr 12 592 10 1944 2024
10 spec 25 520 14 1949 2024
11 other 2 40 2 1992 2024
diagnostics/generated/party_year_source_coverage.csv
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diagnostics/generated/posterior_uncertainty_summary.csv
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rows,parties,countries,min_year,max_year,mean_economic_se,median_economic_se,mean_cultural_se,median_cultural_se
17585,708,65,1944,2025,0.06480914153714339,0.06297344495207625,0.05830289918910167,0.05511815999995913
1 rows parties countries min_year max_year mean_economic_se median_economic_se mean_cultural_se median_cultural_se
2 17585 708 65 1944 2025 0.06480914153714339 0.06297344495207625 0.05830289918910167 0.05511815999995913
diagnostics/generated/posterior_validation_convergent_summary.csv
+3
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dimension,r_pearson,r_spearman,ci_lower,ci_upper,mae,rmse,n,diagnostic
economic left-right,0.9040661964265828,0.9011355686083358,0.8986678208050985,0.9091907336941026,0.07569891833571618,0.09876331318961644,4637,convergent validity
cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist,0.9598645558100498,0.96729961069876,0.9555654780202564,0.96375540322017,0.07890038540202159,0.0987420458613568,1425,convergent validity
1 dimension r_pearson r_spearman ci_lower ci_upper mae rmse n diagnostic
2 economic left-right 0.9040661964265828 0.9011355686083358 0.8986678208050985 0.9091907336941026 0.07569891833571618 0.09876331318961644 4637 convergent validity
3 cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist 0.9598645558100498 0.96729961069876 0.9555654780202564 0.96375540322017 0.07890038540202159 0.0987420458613568 1425 convergent validity
diagnostics/generated/posterior_validation_discriminant_summary.csv
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model_dim,expert_dim,r_pearson,r_spearman,n,type,diagnostic
economic left-right,economic,0.9040661964265828,0.9011355686083358,4637,convergent,discriminant validity
cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist,economic,0.42228411618900114,0.4352014815908644,4637,discriminant,discriminant validity
cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist,cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist,0.9598645558100498,0.96729961069876,1425,convergent,discriminant validity
economic left-right,cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist,0.39267427502305646,0.3979530504947876,1425,discriminant,discriminant validity
1 model_dim expert_dim r_pearson r_spearman n type diagnostic
2 economic left-right economic 0.9040661964265828 0.9011355686083358 4637 convergent discriminant validity
3 cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist economic 0.42228411618900114 0.4352014815908644 4637 discriminant discriminant validity
4 cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist 0.9598645558100498 0.96729961069876 1425 convergent discriminant validity
5 economic left-right cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist 0.39267427502305646 0.3979530504947876 1425 discriminant discriminant validity
diagnostics/generated/posterior_validation_uncertainty_summary.csv
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dimension,cic,cic_pct,ci_lower,ci_upper,n,covered,diagnostic
economic left-right,0.8987256874580818,89.9,0.8916705123992721,0.9053701433508112,7455,6700,posterior predictive coverage
cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist,0.8477379496750113,84.8,0.8420030513784423,0.8533009527490912,15539,13173,posterior predictive coverage
1 dimension cic cic_pct ci_lower ci_upper n covered diagnostic
2 economic left-right 0.8987256874580818 89.9 0.8916705123992721 0.9053701433508112 7455 6700 posterior predictive coverage
3 cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist 0.8477379496750113 84.8 0.8420030513784423 0.8533009527490912 15539 13173 posterior predictive coverage
diagnostics/generated/reversed_items.csv
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source_file,item,source,dimension,type_low,type_high,higher_values_indicate,reversed_for_reporting,observations,party_years,parties,countries,min_year,max_year
text_data.csv,internationalism_manifesto,Manifesto Project,cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist,traditional,cosmopolitan,cosmopolitan,yes,4501,4501,713,65,1920,2025
text_data.csv,multiculturalism_manifesto,Manifesto Project,cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist,traditional,cosmopolitan,cosmopolitan,yes,4501,4501,713,65,1920,2025
text_data.csv,economic_intervention_manifesto,Manifesto Project,economic left-right,pro_market,pro_welfare,pro_welfare,yes,4501,4501,713,65,1920,2025
text_data.csv,social_services_manifesto,Manifesto Project,economic left-right,pro_market,pro_welfare,pro_welfare,yes,4501,4501,713,65,1920,2025
text_data.csv,cultlib_poldem,PolDem,cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist,traditional,cosmopolitan,cosmopolitan,yes,299,299,78,15,1972,2017
text_data.csv,euro_poldem,PolDem,cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist,traditional,cosmopolitan,cosmopolitan,yes,93,93,44,13,1978,2017
text_data.csv,europe_poldem,PolDem,cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist,traditional,cosmopolitan,cosmopolitan,yes,217,217,66,15,1972,2017
text_data.csv,immig_poldem,PolDem,cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist,traditional,cosmopolitan,cosmopolitan,yes,236,236,67,14,1972,2017
text_data.csv,welfare_poldem,PolDem,economic left-right,pro_market,pro_welfare,pro_welfare,yes,349,349,83,15,1972,2017
1 source_file item source dimension type_low type_high higher_values_indicate reversed_for_reporting observations party_years parties countries min_year max_year
2 text_data.csv internationalism_manifesto Manifesto Project cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist traditional cosmopolitan cosmopolitan yes 4501 4501 713 65 1920 2025
3 text_data.csv multiculturalism_manifesto Manifesto Project cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist traditional cosmopolitan cosmopolitan yes 4501 4501 713 65 1920 2025
4 text_data.csv economic_intervention_manifesto Manifesto Project economic left-right pro_market pro_welfare pro_welfare yes 4501 4501 713 65 1920 2025
5 text_data.csv social_services_manifesto Manifesto Project economic left-right pro_market pro_welfare pro_welfare yes 4501 4501 713 65 1920 2025
6 text_data.csv cultlib_poldem PolDem cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist traditional cosmopolitan cosmopolitan yes 299 299 78 15 1972 2017
7 text_data.csv euro_poldem PolDem cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist traditional cosmopolitan cosmopolitan yes 93 93 44 13 1978 2017
8 text_data.csv europe_poldem PolDem cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist traditional cosmopolitan cosmopolitan yes 217 217 66 15 1972 2017
9 text_data.csv immig_poldem PolDem cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist traditional cosmopolitan cosmopolitan yes 236 236 67 14 1972 2017
10 text_data.csv welfare_poldem PolDem economic left-right pro_market pro_welfare pro_welfare yes 349 349 83 15 1972 2017
diagnostics/generated/robustness_sensitivity.csv
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specification,ablated_source,dimension,matched_n,correlation_with_production,mean_abs_difference,median_abs_difference,p95_abs_difference,mean_interval_width_production,mean_interval_width_ablation
Source ablation,V Party,economic left-right,4248,0.954,0.05,0.033,0.159,NA,NA
Source ablation,V Party,cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist,4248,0.898,0.08,0.062,0.228,0.202,0.323
Gap threshold 5 years,NA,economic left-right,4244,0.999,0.003,0.002,0.007,NA,NA
Gap threshold 5 years,NA,cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist,4244,0.999,0.002,0.001,0.006,NA,NA
Gap threshold 10 years,NA,economic left-right,4265,0.999,0.006,0.006,0.011,NA,NA
Gap threshold 10 years,NA,cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist,4265,1,0.003,0.002,0.006,NA,NA
1 specification ablated_source dimension matched_n correlation_with_production mean_abs_difference median_abs_difference p95_abs_difference mean_interval_width_production mean_interval_width_ablation
2 Source ablation V Party economic left-right 4248 0.954 0.05 0.033 0.159 NA NA
3 Source ablation V Party cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist 4248 0.898 0.08 0.062 0.228 0.202 0.323
4 Gap threshold 5 years NA economic left-right 4244 0.999 0.003 0.002 0.007 NA NA
5 Gap threshold 5 years NA cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist 4244 0.999 0.002 0.001 0.006 NA NA
6 Gap threshold 10 years NA economic left-right 4265 0.999 0.006 0.006 0.011 NA NA
7 Gap threshold 10 years NA cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist 4265 1 0.003 0.002 0.006 NA NA
diagnostics/generated/source_composition_balance.csv
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dimension,source_composition_class,reference_class,n,adjusted_difference
economic left-right,text_only_direct_or_nearby,both_direct_or_nearby,4916,0.014
economic left-right,expert_only_direct_or_nearby,both_direct_or_nearby,4916,-0.015
economic left-right,temporal_propagation,both_direct_or_nearby,4916,-0.046
cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist,text_only_direct_or_nearby,both_direct_or_nearby,4916,0.017
cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist,expert_only_direct_or_nearby,both_direct_or_nearby,4916,0.038
cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist,temporal_propagation,both_direct_or_nearby,4916,-0.042
1 dimension source_composition_class reference_class n adjusted_difference
2 economic left-right text_only_direct_or_nearby both_direct_or_nearby 4916 0.014
3 economic left-right expert_only_direct_or_nearby both_direct_or_nearby 4916 -0.015
4 economic left-right temporal_propagation both_direct_or_nearby 4916 -0.046
5 cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist text_only_direct_or_nearby both_direct_or_nearby 4916 0.017
6 cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist expert_only_direct_or_nearby both_direct_or_nearby 4916 0.038
7 cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist temporal_propagation both_direct_or_nearby 4916 -0.042
diagnostics/generated/source_coverage.csv
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source_file,source,items,observations,party_years,parties,countries,min_year,max_year
expert.csv,CHES,2,2639,1320,390,44,1999,2024
expert.csv,GPS,2,538,271,271,62,2019,2019
expert.csv,POPPA,1,413,413,225,31,2018,2023
expert.csv,V-Party,7,21488,3076,589,65,1970,2019
lr_data.csv,CHES,1,1320,1320,390,44,1999,2024
lr_data.csv,Morgan,1,471,471,72,11,1945,1973
lr_data.csv,POPPA,1,416,416,225,31,2018,2023
text_data.csv,Manifesto Project,8,36008,4501,713,65,1920,2025
text_data.csv,PolDem,9,2194,406,93,15,1972,2017
1 source_file source items observations party_years parties countries min_year max_year
2 expert.csv CHES 2 2639 1320 390 44 1999 2024
3 expert.csv GPS 2 538 271 271 62 2019 2019
4 expert.csv POPPA 1 413 413 225 31 2018 2023
5 expert.csv V-Party 7 21488 3076 589 65 1970 2019
6 lr_data.csv CHES 1 1320 1320 390 44 1999 2024
7 lr_data.csv Morgan 1 471 471 72 11 1945 1973
8 lr_data.csv POPPA 1 416 416 225 31 2018 2023
9 text_data.csv Manifesto Project 8 36008 4501 713 65 1920 2025
10 text_data.csv PolDem 9 2194 406 93 15 1972 2017