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Armin
2026-06-15 18:12:13 +02:00
parent 8c920739ea
commit 6c1e40fffe
30 changed files with 221 additions and 2691 deletions
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diagnostics/generate_diagnostics.R
+4 -6
View File
@@ -171,7 +171,6 @@ alliance_union_harmonization <- bind_rows(
tibble(metric = "unique_union_or_alliance_ids", category = "all", value = n_distinct(union_mapping$manifesto_pf_id)),
tibble(metric = "unique_constituent_party_ids", category = "all", value = n_distinct(union_mapping$expert_pf_id)),
union_mapping %>% count(country, name = "value") %>% transmute(metric = "mappings_by_country", category = country, value),
union_mapping %>% count(relationship, name = "value") %>% transmute(metric = "mappings_by_relationship", category = relationship, value),
union_mapping %>% count(status, name = "value") %>% transmute(metric = "mappings_by_status", category = status, value)
)
@@ -189,11 +188,11 @@ if (is.na(convergence_summary_file) || is.na(convergence_detail_file)) {
stop("Convergence diagnostics not found under ", outputs_dir, ". Run the model diagnostics before generating the report.")
}
model_convergence_summary <- read_if_exists(convergence_summary_file) %>%
mutate(source_file = convergence_summary_file)
identity()
model_convergence_by_dimension <- read_if_exists(convergence_detail_file) %>%
group_by(dimension) %>%
summarise(parameters = n(), mean_rhat = mean(rhat, na.rm = TRUE), max_rhat = max(rhat, na.rm = TRUE), min_ess_bulk = min(ess_bulk, na.rm = TRUE), mean_ess_bulk = mean(ess_bulk, na.rm = TRUE), .groups = "drop") %>%
mutate(dimension = public_dimension(dimension), source_file = convergence_detail_file) %>%
mutate(dimension = public_dimension(dimension)) %>%
arrange(dimension)
convergent_summary_file <- latest_file(file.path(outputs_dir, "validation", "latest"), "^convergent_summary_.*\\.csv$")
@@ -216,14 +215,13 @@ uncertainty_summary <- read_if_exists(uncertainty_summary_file) %>%
external_validation_correlations <- read_if_exists(external_validation_file) %>%
group_by(var, dimension) %>%
summarise(n = n(), pearson_r = cor(expert_val, model_val, use = "complete.obs"), mean_absolute_error = mean(abs_error, na.rm = TRUE), coverage_95 = mean(covered_95, na.rm = TRUE), .groups = "drop") %>%
mutate(dimension = public_dimension(dimension), source_file = external_validation_file) %>%
mutate(dimension = public_dimension(dimension)) %>%
arrange(dimension, var)
construct_family_positions <- read_if_exists(construct_families_file) %>%
rename(mean_cultural = mean_galtan, sd_cultural = sd_galtan) %>%
mutate(source_file = construct_families_file) %>%
arrange(mean_economic)
construct_temporal_stability <- read_if_exists(construct_unstable_file) %>%
mutate(dimension = public_dimension(dimension), source_file = construct_unstable_file) %>%
mutate(dimension = public_dimension(dimension)) %>%
arrange(desc(annual_change))
source_composition_balance <- read_if_exists(review_file("validation", "source_composition_balance.csv")) %>%
mutate(dimension = public_dimension(dimension))
diagnostics/generated/alliance_union_harmonization.csv
-74
View File
@@ -36,78 +36,4 @@ mappings_by_country,RO,6
mappings_by_country,RS,3
mappings_by_country,SK,4
mappings_by_country,UY,1
mappings_by_relationship,Amaiur (2011) predecessor to EH Bildu; expert data 2014-2024 covers EH Bildu years,1
mappings_by_relationship,Arab party coalition (2015-2021); Balad is constituent,1
mappings_by_relationship,Arab party coalition (2015-2021); Hadash is core constituent,1
mappings_by_relationship,CdL coalition constituent (1994-2008),1
mappings_by_relationship,Communist Party of Chile was constituent of Nueva Mayoría (2013-2017) under Concertación PF ID,1
mappings_by_relationship,DS merged into SDKÚ-DS,1
mappings_by_relationship,HDZ-led coalition variants,1
mappings_by_relationship,Humanist Party was Concertación constituent (2005-2009),1
mappings_by_relationship,"LLM (bloc-centric): DIKKI was a constituent member of the SYRIZA bloc in the 2007 election, running under its banner and publishing joint manifestos.",1
mappings_by_relationship,LLM (bloc-centric): Jaunais laiks (JL) was a founding constituent of the Unity (Vienotība) bloc in 2010 and published joint manifestos under its banner.,1
mappings_by_relationship,LLM (bloc-centric): KDS (Christian Democratic Party) is explicitly listed as a constituent member of the 'Christian and Democratic Union - Czech People's Party' bloc in the PartyFacts comments and published joint manifestos with it.,1
mappings_by_relationship,"LLM (bloc-centric): Latvijas Zemnieku savienība (LZS) was a core constituent member of the Greens' and Farmers’ Union (ZZS) bloc in 2002, publishing joint manifestos and running under the bloc's banner.",1
mappings_by_relationship,"LLM (bloc-centric): New Serbia (NS) was a verified constituent member of the 'Democratic Party of Serbia/New Serbia' bloc in the 2008 elections, publishing joint manifestos with DSS.",1
mappings_by_relationship,"LLM (bloc-centric): PDT (Partido Democrático Trabalhista) was a constituent member of this bloc in multiple elections, including joint manifestos (notably 2010, 2018, and 2022).",1
mappings_by_relationship,"LLM (bloc-centric): PL (Partido Liberal) was a constituent member of the bloc in the 2002 election, publishing a joint manifesto.",1
mappings_by_relationship,"LLM (bloc-centric): PR (Partido da República) was a constituent member of the bloc in the 2010 and 2014 elections, publishing joint manifestos with the bloc.",1
mappings_by_relationship,"LLM (bloc-centric): PSB (Partido Socialista Brasileiro) was a frequent coalition partner and constituent member of this bloc, including joint manifestos in several elections (notably 2002, 2006, 2010, 2014, and 2022).",1
mappings_by_relationship,"LLM (bloc-centric): PT (Partido dos Trabalhadores) was the leading party and consistent constituent of this left/progressive bloc across all listed elections, publishing joint manifestos under its banner.",1
mappings_by_relationship,"LLM (bloc-centric): PTB (Partido Trabalhista Brasileiro) was a constituent member of the bloc in the 2002 and 2006 elections, participating in joint manifestos.",1
mappings_by_relationship,"LLM (bloc-centric): The Christian Democratic Party (PDC) was a principal founding member of the Concertación/CPD, running under its banner and signing joint manifestos.",1
mappings_by_relationship,"LLM (bloc-centric): The Justicialist Party (PJ) was the principal and founding constituent of the Front for Victory (FpV) bloc, running under its banner and publishing joint manifestos in all relevant elections.",1
mappings_by_relationship,"LLM (bloc-centric): The Party for Democracy (PPD) was a core constituent of the Concertación/CPD, participating in all its joint electoral platforms and manifestos.",1
mappings_by_relationship,"LLM (bloc-centric): The Radical Social Democratic Party (PRSD) was a constituent member of the Concertación/CPD, participating in joint electoral lists and manifestos.",1
mappings_by_relationship,LLM (bloc-centric): The Serbian Progressive Party (SNS) was the leading and founding constituent of the 'Aleksandar Vučić – Serbia wins / For Our Children / Serbia Must Not Stop' bloc in all listed elections and published joint manifestos under this banner.,1
mappings_by_relationship,"LLM (bloc-centric): The Socialist Party of Chile (PS) was a founding and continuous member of the Concertación/CPD, running on joint lists and publishing joint manifestos.",1
mappings_by_relationship,LLM: CC (Compromís) published joint manifestos as part of Compromís–Podemos–EUPV (PF ID: 8271) in general elections.,1
mappings_by_relationship,"LLM: CD+NVA refers to the joint electoral lists of CD&V and N-VA (mainly 2003-2007); during this period, they published joint manifestos under the CD/V (PF ID: 604) label in the text data.",1
mappings_by_relationship,"LLM: CP was a constituent of the SLFP-led United Front and People's Alliance, publishing joint manifestos with SLFP.",1
mappings_by_relationship,"LLM: CP/VLSSP often contested as part of the SLFP-led United Front and People's Alliance, typically under joint manifestos with SLFP, but sometimes ran separately; medium confidence due to occasional independent runs.",1
mappings_by_relationship,"LLM: DC (Democratic Centre) was a constituent of the Kukuriku coalition, which published joint manifestos under the Kukuriku name (PF ID: 2522) in 2011 and 2015.",1
mappings_by_relationship,LLM: DUS (Demokratická únia Slovenska) is the same as DÚS (PF ID: 6629) in the manifesto data; manifestos are published under the union name.,1
mappings_by_relationship,"LLM: D|W|U refers to Unia Wolności (UW) and its predecessors/successors, which published manifestos under the UW name (PF ID: 8268) in the text data.",1
mappings_by_relationship,LLM: ERP (Res Publica) published joint manifestos as 'RP' (PF ID: 685) in the text data; Res Publica is the Estonian name for the same party.,1
mappings_by_relationship,"LLM: FPCyS (Frente Progresista, Cívico y Social) included PS and others; manifestos often under FAP or similar coalitions.",1
mappings_by_relationship,"LLM: FR (Frente Renovador) joined FAP in some elections, but also ran independently; likely constituent in FAP manifestos.",1
mappings_by_relationship,"LLM: Groen was a constituent party of GroenLinks (GL, PF ID: 1537), which published joint manifestos after its formation; Groen did not publish separate manifestos after joining the union.",1
mappings_by_relationship,LLM: HGI (Croatian Civic Initiative) is a small Croatian minority party that typically runs on joint lists with DSCG (Democratic Union of Croats) in Montenegro; manifestos are published under DSCG.,1
mappings_by_relationship,"LLM: KSII is the coalition led by NDSV (374); manifestos published under NDSV, not KSII.",1
mappings_by_relationship,"LLM: LSSP was a core constituent of the SLFP-led United Front and People's Alliance, publishing joint manifestos with SLFP.",1
mappings_by_relationship,"LLM: NATBLNNK is a constituent of TB-LNNK (1704), which published joint manifestos as a union.",1
mappings_by_relationship,"LLM: NE (Nuevo Espacio) is a well-known constituent party of the Frente Amplio (FA) coalition, which publishes joint manifestos under the FA name.",1
mappings_by_relationship,LLM: NLP (NewLabour Party) was a founding constituent of the Alliance and published joint manifestos under the Alliance name.,1
mappings_by_relationship,LLM: Oikologoi Prasinoi (OP) ran jointly with MeRA25 in 2019 as part of the 'MeRA25-Alliance for Breakup' and did not publish a separate manifesto; their program was subsumed under MeRA25.,1
mappings_by_relationship,"LLM: P2000 (Perú 2000) was a bloc including Cambio 90 (C90); manifestos were published under the C90/NM/P2000 bloc, which is represented as C90 (PF ID: 4219) in text data.",1
mappings_by_relationship,LLM: PBPS (Solidarity–People Before Profit) publishes joint manifestos under PBP (PF ID: 242) in the text data; this is a union.,1
mappings_by_relationship,"LLM: PS (Socialist Party) was a core constituent of FAP (Frente Amplio Progresista), which published joint manifestos.",1
mappings_by_relationship,"LLM: SNK-ED ran joint lists and published manifestos together with STAN (PF ID: 1707) in parliamentary elections, notably in 2006, under the SNK-ED–STAN label.",1
mappings_by_relationship,LLM: Sinistra Ecologia Libertà (SEL) is present in both datasets and publishes manifestos under SEL (PF ID: 1212) in text data.,1
mappings_by_relationship,"LLM: The Liberal Party (LP, PF ID: 1998) is the predecessor and constituent of the Liberal Party of Australia (LPA, PF ID: 486); manifestos are published under LPA, not LP.",1
mappings_by_relationship,"LLM: The National Party (NAT) is the predecessor and constituent of the National Party of Australia (NPA, PF ID: 1743), which is the name used for joint manifestos after the party's rebranding; manifestos are published under NPA, not NAT.",1
mappings_by_relationship,LLM: UNPR was a constituent of the USL (PF ID: 5941) coalition and did not publish its own manifesto; manifestos were issued under the USL name.,1
mappings_by_relationship,LLM: Unione di Centro (UC/UDC) is a constituent of UdC (PF ID: 201) in the text data; they publish joint manifestos under UdC.,1
mappings_by_relationship,Nowoczesna was core constituent of Koalicja Obywatelska (KO) in 2019 under PO CMP code (progtype=8),1
mappings_by_relationship,PASOK-dominated umbrella rebranded 2022,1
mappings_by_relationship,PNL was a core constituent of USL coalition (2012 joint manifesto),1
mappings_by_relationship,PRI-PVEM electoral coalition (2006-2012) under various names,2
mappings_by_relationship,PSD was the lead constituent of USL coalition (2012 joint manifesto),1
mappings_by_relationship,Peronist faction no independent manifesto,1
mappings_by_relationship,UMP renamed 2015,1
mappings_by_relationship,bloc constituent (progtype=5),1
mappings_by_relationship,bloc constituent (progtype=8),19
mappings_by_relationship,cartel list,1
mappings_by_relationship,constituent,3
mappings_by_relationship,constituent of alliance,4
mappings_by_relationship,core coalition member joint CMP manifesto,2
mappings_by_relationship,joint list SDP dominant,1
mappings_by_relationship,merger,3
mappings_by_relationship,merger constituent,2
mappings_by_relationship,name fragment of LDP/LSV/SDS,1
mappings_by_relationship,name fragment of LNNK-LZP,1
mappings_by_relationship,name fragment of PSD-PC,1
mappings_by_relationship,name fragment of PSD-PUR,1
mappings_by_relationship,same as Les Républicains duplicate PF ID,1
mappings_by_relationship,same party duplicate PF ID,5
mappings_by_status,implemented,106
1 metric category value
36 mappings_by_country RS 3
37 mappings_by_country SK 4
38 mappings_by_country UY 1
mappings_by_relationship Amaiur (2011) predecessor to EH Bildu; expert data 2014-2024 covers EH Bildu years 1
mappings_by_relationship Arab party coalition (2015-2021); Balad is constituent 1
mappings_by_relationship Arab party coalition (2015-2021); Hadash is core constituent 1
mappings_by_relationship CdL coalition constituent (1994-2008) 1
mappings_by_relationship Communist Party of Chile was constituent of Nueva Mayoría (2013-2017) under Concertación PF ID 1
mappings_by_relationship DS merged into SDKÚ-DS 1
mappings_by_relationship HDZ-led coalition variants 1
mappings_by_relationship Humanist Party was Concertación constituent (2005-2009) 1
mappings_by_relationship LLM (bloc-centric): DIKKI was a constituent member of the SYRIZA bloc in the 2007 election, running under its banner and publishing joint manifestos. 1
mappings_by_relationship LLM (bloc-centric): Jaunais laiks (JL) was a founding constituent of the Unity (Vienotība) bloc in 2010 and published joint manifestos under its banner. 1
mappings_by_relationship LLM (bloc-centric): KDS (Christian Democratic Party) is explicitly listed as a constituent member of the 'Christian and Democratic Union - Czech People's Party' bloc in the PartyFacts comments and published joint manifestos with it. 1
mappings_by_relationship LLM (bloc-centric): Latvijas Zemnieku savienība (LZS) was a core constituent member of the Greens' and Farmers’ Union (ZZS) bloc in 2002, publishing joint manifestos and running under the bloc's banner. 1
mappings_by_relationship LLM (bloc-centric): New Serbia (NS) was a verified constituent member of the 'Democratic Party of Serbia/New Serbia' bloc in the 2008 elections, publishing joint manifestos with DSS. 1
mappings_by_relationship LLM (bloc-centric): PDT (Partido Democrático Trabalhista) was a constituent member of this bloc in multiple elections, including joint manifestos (notably 2010, 2018, and 2022). 1
mappings_by_relationship LLM (bloc-centric): PL (Partido Liberal) was a constituent member of the bloc in the 2002 election, publishing a joint manifesto. 1
mappings_by_relationship LLM (bloc-centric): PR (Partido da República) was a constituent member of the bloc in the 2010 and 2014 elections, publishing joint manifestos with the bloc. 1
mappings_by_relationship LLM (bloc-centric): PSB (Partido Socialista Brasileiro) was a frequent coalition partner and constituent member of this bloc, including joint manifestos in several elections (notably 2002, 2006, 2010, 2014, and 2022). 1
mappings_by_relationship LLM (bloc-centric): PT (Partido dos Trabalhadores) was the leading party and consistent constituent of this left/progressive bloc across all listed elections, publishing joint manifestos under its banner. 1
mappings_by_relationship LLM (bloc-centric): PTB (Partido Trabalhista Brasileiro) was a constituent member of the bloc in the 2002 and 2006 elections, participating in joint manifestos. 1
mappings_by_relationship LLM (bloc-centric): The Christian Democratic Party (PDC) was a principal founding member of the Concertación/CPD, running under its banner and signing joint manifestos. 1
mappings_by_relationship LLM (bloc-centric): The Justicialist Party (PJ) was the principal and founding constituent of the Front for Victory (FpV) bloc, running under its banner and publishing joint manifestos in all relevant elections. 1
mappings_by_relationship LLM (bloc-centric): The Party for Democracy (PPD) was a core constituent of the Concertación/CPD, participating in all its joint electoral platforms and manifestos. 1
mappings_by_relationship LLM (bloc-centric): The Radical Social Democratic Party (PRSD) was a constituent member of the Concertación/CPD, participating in joint electoral lists and manifestos. 1
mappings_by_relationship LLM (bloc-centric): The Serbian Progressive Party (SNS) was the leading and founding constituent of the 'Aleksandar Vučić – Serbia wins / For Our Children / Serbia Must Not Stop' bloc in all listed elections and published joint manifestos under this banner. 1
mappings_by_relationship LLM (bloc-centric): The Socialist Party of Chile (PS) was a founding and continuous member of the Concertación/CPD, running on joint lists and publishing joint manifestos. 1
mappings_by_relationship LLM: CC (Compromís) published joint manifestos as part of Compromís–Podemos–EUPV (PF ID: 8271) in general elections. 1
mappings_by_relationship LLM: CD+NVA refers to the joint electoral lists of CD&V and N-VA (mainly 2003-2007); during this period, they published joint manifestos under the CD/V (PF ID: 604) label in the text data. 1
mappings_by_relationship LLM: CP was a constituent of the SLFP-led United Front and People's Alliance, publishing joint manifestos with SLFP. 1
mappings_by_relationship LLM: CP/VLSSP often contested as part of the SLFP-led United Front and People's Alliance, typically under joint manifestos with SLFP, but sometimes ran separately; medium confidence due to occasional independent runs. 1
mappings_by_relationship LLM: DC (Democratic Centre) was a constituent of the Kukuriku coalition, which published joint manifestos under the Kukuriku name (PF ID: 2522) in 2011 and 2015. 1
mappings_by_relationship LLM: DUS (Demokratická únia Slovenska) is the same as DÚS (PF ID: 6629) in the manifesto data; manifestos are published under the union name. 1
mappings_by_relationship LLM: D|W|U refers to Unia Wolności (UW) and its predecessors/successors, which published manifestos under the UW name (PF ID: 8268) in the text data. 1
mappings_by_relationship LLM: ERP (Res Publica) published joint manifestos as 'RP' (PF ID: 685) in the text data; Res Publica is the Estonian name for the same party. 1
mappings_by_relationship LLM: FPCyS (Frente Progresista, Cívico y Social) included PS and others; manifestos often under FAP or similar coalitions. 1
mappings_by_relationship LLM: FR (Frente Renovador) joined FAP in some elections, but also ran independently; likely constituent in FAP manifestos. 1
mappings_by_relationship LLM: Groen was a constituent party of GroenLinks (GL, PF ID: 1537), which published joint manifestos after its formation; Groen did not publish separate manifestos after joining the union. 1
mappings_by_relationship LLM: HGI (Croatian Civic Initiative) is a small Croatian minority party that typically runs on joint lists with DSCG (Democratic Union of Croats) in Montenegro; manifestos are published under DSCG. 1
mappings_by_relationship LLM: KSII is the coalition led by NDSV (374); manifestos published under NDSV, not KSII. 1
mappings_by_relationship LLM: LSSP was a core constituent of the SLFP-led United Front and People's Alliance, publishing joint manifestos with SLFP. 1
mappings_by_relationship LLM: NATBLNNK is a constituent of TB-LNNK (1704), which published joint manifestos as a union. 1
mappings_by_relationship LLM: NE (Nuevo Espacio) is a well-known constituent party of the Frente Amplio (FA) coalition, which publishes joint manifestos under the FA name. 1
mappings_by_relationship LLM: NLP (NewLabour Party) was a founding constituent of the Alliance and published joint manifestos under the Alliance name. 1
mappings_by_relationship LLM: Oikologoi Prasinoi (OP) ran jointly with MeRA25 in 2019 as part of the 'MeRA25-Alliance for Breakup' and did not publish a separate manifesto; their program was subsumed under MeRA25. 1
mappings_by_relationship LLM: P2000 (Perú 2000) was a bloc including Cambio 90 (C90); manifestos were published under the C90/NM/P2000 bloc, which is represented as C90 (PF ID: 4219) in text data. 1
mappings_by_relationship LLM: PBPS (Solidarity–People Before Profit) publishes joint manifestos under PBP (PF ID: 242) in the text data; this is a union. 1
mappings_by_relationship LLM: PS (Socialist Party) was a core constituent of FAP (Frente Amplio Progresista), which published joint manifestos. 1
mappings_by_relationship LLM: SNK-ED ran joint lists and published manifestos together with STAN (PF ID: 1707) in parliamentary elections, notably in 2006, under the SNK-ED–STAN label. 1
mappings_by_relationship LLM: Sinistra Ecologia Libertà (SEL) is present in both datasets and publishes manifestos under SEL (PF ID: 1212) in text data. 1
mappings_by_relationship LLM: The Liberal Party (LP, PF ID: 1998) is the predecessor and constituent of the Liberal Party of Australia (LPA, PF ID: 486); manifestos are published under LPA, not LP. 1
mappings_by_relationship LLM: The National Party (NAT) is the predecessor and constituent of the National Party of Australia (NPA, PF ID: 1743), which is the name used for joint manifestos after the party's rebranding; manifestos are published under NPA, not NAT. 1
mappings_by_relationship LLM: UNPR was a constituent of the USL (PF ID: 5941) coalition and did not publish its own manifesto; manifestos were issued under the USL name. 1
mappings_by_relationship LLM: Unione di Centro (UC/UDC) is a constituent of UdC (PF ID: 201) in the text data; they publish joint manifestos under UdC. 1
mappings_by_relationship Nowoczesna was core constituent of Koalicja Obywatelska (KO) in 2019 under PO CMP code (progtype=8) 1
mappings_by_relationship PASOK-dominated umbrella rebranded 2022 1
mappings_by_relationship PNL was a core constituent of USL coalition (2012 joint manifesto) 1
mappings_by_relationship PRI-PVEM electoral coalition (2006-2012) under various names 2
mappings_by_relationship PSD was the lead constituent of USL coalition (2012 joint manifesto) 1
mappings_by_relationship Peronist faction no independent manifesto 1
mappings_by_relationship UMP renamed 2015 1
mappings_by_relationship bloc constituent (progtype=5) 1
mappings_by_relationship bloc constituent (progtype=8) 19
mappings_by_relationship cartel list 1
mappings_by_relationship constituent 3
mappings_by_relationship constituent of alliance 4
mappings_by_relationship core coalition member joint CMP manifesto 2
mappings_by_relationship joint list SDP dominant 1
mappings_by_relationship merger 3
mappings_by_relationship merger constituent 2
mappings_by_relationship name fragment of LDP/LSV/SDS 1
mappings_by_relationship name fragment of LNNK-LZP 1
mappings_by_relationship name fragment of PSD-PC 1
mappings_by_relationship name fragment of PSD-PUR 1
mappings_by_relationship same as Les Républicains duplicate PF ID 1
mappings_by_relationship same party duplicate PF ID 5
39 mappings_by_status implemented 106
diagnostics/generated/construct_family_positions.csv
+8 -8
View File
@@ -1,8 +1,8 @@
family,n_parties,n_obs,mean_economic,sd_economic,mean_cultural,sd_cultural,family_name,source_file
com,49,1241,0.12001647469327872,0.0901861773223108,0.3834027613298184,0.18041637351915937,Communist/Far Left,/srv/projects/party4d/archive/party2d_replication/outputs/validation/latest/construct_families_2026-05-04_18-12-36.csv
eco,30,723,0.26720980626115975,0.11467133878653364,0.2514849926574344,0.09223964864606182,Green/Ecological,/srv/projects/party4d/archive/party2d_replication/outputs/validation/latest/construct_families_2026-05-04_18-12-36.csv
soc,86,2892,0.3305567447692131,0.1240506242334158,0.3777170994931328,0.13783788204153472,Social Democratic,/srv/projects/party4d/archive/party2d_replication/outputs/validation/latest/construct_families_2026-05-04_18-12-36.csv
chr,41,1596,0.5961213268671609,0.11930537492981286,0.5293978691891922,0.13964161332639527,Christian Democratic,/srv/projects/party4d/archive/party2d_replication/outputs/validation/latest/construct_families_2026-05-04_18-12-36.csv
right,50,975,0.6222552715406671,0.18991001824381296,0.720426765976975,0.15147355617267264,Radical Right,/srv/projects/party4d/archive/party2d_replication/outputs/validation/latest/construct_families_2026-05-04_18-12-36.csv
con,82,2425,0.6519453485719768,0.17791542785462533,0.5375091531921928,0.14258881749137706,Conservative,/srv/projects/party4d/archive/party2d_replication/outputs/validation/latest/construct_families_2026-05-04_18-12-36.csv
lib,81,2063,0.6569946895012412,0.15224833699588255,0.37069062594934565,0.13158056834168683,Liberal,/srv/projects/party4d/archive/party2d_replication/outputs/validation/latest/construct_families_2026-05-04_18-12-36.csv
family,n_parties,n_obs,mean_economic,sd_economic,mean_cultural,sd_cultural,family_name
com,49,1241,0.12001647469327872,0.0901861773223108,0.3834027613298184,0.18041637351915937,Communist/Far Left
eco,30,723,0.26720980626115975,0.11467133878653364,0.2514849926574344,0.09223964864606182,Green/Ecological
soc,86,2892,0.3305567447692131,0.1240506242334158,0.3777170994931328,0.13783788204153472,Social Democratic
chr,41,1596,0.5961213268671609,0.11930537492981286,0.5293978691891922,0.13964161332639527,Christian Democratic
right,50,975,0.6222552715406671,0.18991001824381296,0.720426765976975,0.15147355617267264,Radical Right
con,82,2425,0.6519453485719768,0.17791542785462533,0.5375091531921928,0.14258881749137706,Conservative
lib,81,2063,0.6569946895012412,0.15224833699588255,0.37069062594934565,0.13158056834168683,Liberal
1 family n_parties n_obs mean_economic sd_economic mean_cultural sd_cultural family_name source_file
2 com 49 1241 0.12001647469327872 0.0901861773223108 0.3834027613298184 0.18041637351915937 Communist/Far Left /srv/projects/party4d/archive/party2d_replication/outputs/validation/latest/construct_families_2026-05-04_18-12-36.csv
3 eco 30 723 0.26720980626115975 0.11467133878653364 0.2514849926574344 0.09223964864606182 Green/Ecological /srv/projects/party4d/archive/party2d_replication/outputs/validation/latest/construct_families_2026-05-04_18-12-36.csv
4 soc 86 2892 0.3305567447692131 0.1240506242334158 0.3777170994931328 0.13783788204153472 Social Democratic /srv/projects/party4d/archive/party2d_replication/outputs/validation/latest/construct_families_2026-05-04_18-12-36.csv
5 chr 41 1596 0.5961213268671609 0.11930537492981286 0.5293978691891922 0.13964161332639527 Christian Democratic /srv/projects/party4d/archive/party2d_replication/outputs/validation/latest/construct_families_2026-05-04_18-12-36.csv
6 right 50 975 0.6222552715406671 0.18991001824381296 0.720426765976975 0.15147355617267264 Radical Right /srv/projects/party4d/archive/party2d_replication/outputs/validation/latest/construct_families_2026-05-04_18-12-36.csv
7 con 82 2425 0.6519453485719768 0.17791542785462533 0.5375091531921928 0.14258881749137706 Conservative /srv/projects/party4d/archive/party2d_replication/outputs/validation/latest/construct_families_2026-05-04_18-12-36.csv
8 lib 81 2063 0.6569946895012412 0.15224833699588255 0.37069062594934565 0.13158056834168683 Liberal /srv/projects/party4d/archive/party2d_replication/outputs/validation/latest/construct_families_2026-05-04_18-12-36.csv
diagnostics/generated/construct_temporal_stability_flags.csv
+60 -60
View File
@@ -1,60 +1,60 @@
party_id,country,dimension,year_from,year_to,val_from,val_to,change,annual_change,source_file
556,LT,cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist,2019,2020,0.77107951125,0.5289456789999999,0.24213383225000007,0.24213383225000007,/srv/projects/party4d/archive/party2d_replication/outputs/validation/latest/construct_unstable_2026-05-04_18-12-36.csv
1663,IL,cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist,2021,2022,0.1423029388125,0.35615504375,0.2138521049375,0.2138521049375,/srv/projects/party4d/archive/party2d_replication/outputs/validation/latest/construct_unstable_2026-05-04_18-12-36.csv
455,IL,cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist,1997,1998,0.456850958125,0.6432782493750001,0.18642729125000007,0.18642729125000007,/srv/projects/party4d/archive/party2d_replication/outputs/validation/latest/construct_unstable_2026-05-04_18-12-36.csv
455,IL,cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist,1996,1997,0.27663313025,0.456850958125,0.180217827875,0.180217827875,/srv/projects/party4d/archive/party2d_replication/outputs/validation/latest/construct_unstable_2026-05-04_18-12-36.csv
8393,LV,cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist,2018,2019,0.4386382122500001,0.2627366591625,0.17590155308750005,0.17590155308750005,/srv/projects/party4d/archive/party2d_replication/outputs/validation/latest/construct_unstable_2026-05-04_18-12-36.csv
281,BE,cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist,1977,1978,0.6706878695,0.843416257375,0.172728387875,0.172728387875,/srv/projects/party4d/archive/party2d_replication/outputs/validation/latest/construct_unstable_2026-05-04_18-12-36.csv
556,LT,cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist,2001,2002,0.318926108375,0.49125159325,0.172325484875,0.172325484875,/srv/projects/party4d/archive/party2d_replication/outputs/validation/latest/construct_unstable_2026-05-04_18-12-36.csv
964,IS,economic left-right,2016,2017,0.691268056,0.520838928125,0.17042912787499995,0.17042912787499995,/srv/projects/party4d/archive/party2d_replication/outputs/validation/latest/construct_unstable_2026-05-04_18-12-36.csv
298,NL,cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist,2018,2019,0.760919900625,0.592874692125,0.16804520850000004,0.16804520850000004,/srv/projects/party4d/archive/party2d_replication/outputs/validation/latest/construct_unstable_2026-05-04_18-12-36.csv
901,FI,economic left-right,1992,1993,0.486145510375,0.64721287575,0.161067365375,0.161067365375,/srv/projects/party4d/archive/party2d_replication/outputs/validation/latest/construct_unstable_2026-05-04_18-12-36.csv
467,SI,cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist,2018,2019,0.563748886625,0.4041139849999999,0.15963490162500005,0.15963490162500005,/srv/projects/party4d/archive/party2d_replication/outputs/validation/latest/construct_unstable_2026-05-04_18-12-36.csv
1221,IT,economic left-right,2007,2008,0.559621162375,0.400493563,0.15912759937500004,0.15912759937500004,/srv/projects/party4d/archive/party2d_replication/outputs/validation/latest/construct_unstable_2026-05-04_18-12-36.csv
901,FI,economic left-right,1991,1992,0.327277968125,0.486145510375,0.15886754225,0.15886754225,/srv/projects/party4d/archive/party2d_replication/outputs/validation/latest/construct_unstable_2026-05-04_18-12-36.csv
455,IL,cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist,1998,1999,0.6432782493750001,0.7970417803750001,0.15376353099999995,0.15376353099999995,/srv/projects/party4d/archive/party2d_replication/outputs/validation/latest/construct_unstable_2026-05-04_18-12-36.csv
1221,IT,economic left-right,2006,2007,0.7086087693750001,0.559621162375,0.14898760700000002,0.14898760700000002,/srv/projects/party4d/archive/party2d_replication/outputs/validation/latest/construct_unstable_2026-05-04_18-12-36.csv
2211,UA,economic left-right,2006,2007,0.416653024,0.5619799204999999,0.1453268964999999,0.1453268964999999,/srv/projects/party4d/archive/party2d_replication/outputs/validation/latest/construct_unstable_2026-05-04_18-12-36.csv
631,CH,economic left-right,2018,2019,0.613235049875,0.7569515025,0.143716452625,0.143716452625,/srv/projects/party4d/archive/party2d_replication/outputs/validation/latest/construct_unstable_2026-05-04_18-12-36.csv
298,NL,cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist,2019,2020,0.592874692125,0.734536642,0.14166194987500005,0.14166194987500005,/srv/projects/party4d/archive/party2d_replication/outputs/validation/latest/construct_unstable_2026-05-04_18-12-36.csv
556,LT,cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist,2000,2001,0.180505337875,0.318926108375,0.1384207705,0.1384207705,/srv/projects/party4d/archive/party2d_replication/outputs/validation/latest/construct_unstable_2026-05-04_18-12-36.csv
1417,IL,cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist,1968,1969,0.49841048887499995,0.635275993875,0.13686550500000003,0.13686550500000003,/srv/projects/party4d/archive/party2d_replication/outputs/validation/latest/construct_unstable_2026-05-04_18-12-36.csv
81,ES,cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist,1999,2000,0.44213168437499994,0.30819645050000005,0.1339352338749999,0.1339352338749999,/srv/projects/party4d/archive/party2d_replication/outputs/validation/latest/construct_unstable_2026-05-04_18-12-36.csv
1417,IL,cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist,1967,1968,0.364764852,0.49841048887499995,0.13364563687499997,0.13364563687499997,/srv/projects/party4d/archive/party2d_replication/outputs/validation/latest/construct_unstable_2026-05-04_18-12-36.csv
901,FI,economic left-right,1993,1994,0.64721287575,0.78024709825,0.13303422250000008,0.13303422250000008,/srv/projects/party4d/archive/party2d_replication/outputs/validation/latest/construct_unstable_2026-05-04_18-12-36.csv
409,SE,economic left-right,2018,2019,0.4993397851250001,0.6246204093750001,0.12528062425000003,0.12528062425000003,/srv/projects/party4d/archive/party2d_replication/outputs/validation/latest/construct_unstable_2026-05-04_18-12-36.csv
48,GR,cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist,1999,2000,0.471858772375,0.594323158,0.122464385625,0.122464385625,/srv/projects/party4d/archive/party2d_replication/outputs/validation/latest/construct_unstable_2026-05-04_18-12-36.csv
212,DK,cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist,2014,2015,0.339423171125,0.459806116125,0.12038294500000002,0.12038294500000002,/srv/projects/party4d/archive/party2d_replication/outputs/validation/latest/construct_unstable_2026-05-04_18-12-36.csv
2415,IT,cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist,2006,2007,0.6143681051250001,0.49546903375,0.11889907137500004,0.11889907137500004,/srv/projects/party4d/archive/party2d_replication/outputs/validation/latest/construct_unstable_2026-05-04_18-12-36.csv
1369,IT,cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist,2013,2014,0.7406959332499999,0.6231419237500002,0.11755400949999972,0.11755400949999972,/srv/projects/party4d/archive/party2d_replication/outputs/validation/latest/construct_unstable_2026-05-04_18-12-36.csv
5852,IS,cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist,2018,2019,0.336059923125,0.45280653625,0.116746613125,0.116746613125,/srv/projects/party4d/archive/party2d_replication/outputs/validation/latest/construct_unstable_2026-05-04_18-12-36.csv
1417,IL,cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist,1966,1967,0.2487840847,0.364764852,0.11598076729999995,0.11598076729999995,/srv/projects/party4d/archive/party2d_replication/outputs/validation/latest/construct_unstable_2026-05-04_18-12-36.csv
828,NL,cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist,2019,2020,0.399398152875,0.5144400794999999,0.11504192662499996,0.11504192662499996,/srv/projects/party4d/archive/party2d_replication/outputs/validation/latest/construct_unstable_2026-05-04_18-12-36.csv
2415,IT,cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist,2007,2008,0.49546903375,0.3804985986625,0.1149704350875,0.1149704350875,/srv/projects/party4d/archive/party2d_replication/outputs/validation/latest/construct_unstable_2026-05-04_18-12-36.csv
828,NL,cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist,2020,2021,0.5144400794999999,0.6280684987500001,0.11362841925000022,0.11362841925000022,/srv/projects/party4d/archive/party2d_replication/outputs/validation/latest/construct_unstable_2026-05-04_18-12-36.csv
573,DE,cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist,2024,2025,0.34241723825000003,0.4558404575,0.11342321924999998,0.11342321924999998,/srv/projects/party4d/archive/party2d_replication/outputs/validation/latest/construct_unstable_2026-05-04_18-12-36.csv
1424,BE,economic left-right,1977,1978,0.7125746831249999,0.825810219125,0.11323553600000004,0.11323553600000004,/srv/projects/party4d/archive/party2d_replication/outputs/validation/latest/construct_unstable_2026-05-04_18-12-36.csv
1173,NO,cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist,2018,2019,0.353365422125,0.46349993075,0.11013450862499996,0.11013450862499996,/srv/projects/party4d/archive/party2d_replication/outputs/validation/latest/construct_unstable_2026-05-04_18-12-36.csv
1651,GR,economic left-right,2013,2014,0.441388039625,0.551427035875,0.11003899624999997,0.11003899624999997,/srv/projects/party4d/archive/party2d_replication/outputs/validation/latest/construct_unstable_2026-05-04_18-12-36.csv
1660,GR,cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist,2012,2013,0.70537148075,0.8146704603749999,0.1092989796249999,0.1092989796249999,/srv/projects/party4d/archive/party2d_replication/outputs/validation/latest/construct_unstable_2026-05-04_18-12-36.csv
433,FR,economic left-right,2018,2019,0.433590134625,0.542142367875,0.10855223325000002,0.10855223325000002,/srv/projects/party4d/archive/party2d_replication/outputs/validation/latest/construct_unstable_2026-05-04_18-12-36.csv
1002,GB,cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist,2014,2015,0.3184758865,0.2101810030625,0.10829488343750002,0.10829488343750002,/srv/projects/party4d/archive/party2d_replication/outputs/validation/latest/construct_unstable_2026-05-04_18-12-36.csv
623,AR,economic left-right,1989,1990,0.4145806991249999,0.5228341057499999,0.10825340662499994,0.10825340662499994,/srv/projects/party4d/archive/party2d_replication/outputs/validation/latest/construct_unstable_2026-05-04_18-12-36.csv
1305,RO,economic left-right,2000,2001,0.553705481625,0.446037918375,0.10766756325,0.10766756325,/srv/projects/party4d/archive/party2d_replication/outputs/validation/latest/construct_unstable_2026-05-04_18-12-36.csv
298,NL,cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist,2020,2021,0.734536642,0.84215486075,0.10761821875,0.10761821875,/srv/projects/party4d/archive/party2d_replication/outputs/validation/latest/construct_unstable_2026-05-04_18-12-36.csv
1359,PT,economic left-right,2004,2005,0.495169041875,0.602184326875,0.10701528500000002,0.10701528500000002,/srv/projects/party4d/archive/party2d_replication/outputs/validation/latest/construct_unstable_2026-05-04_18-12-36.csv
1651,GR,economic left-right,2012,2013,0.3355888995,0.441388039625,0.10579914012500002,0.10579914012500002,/srv/projects/party4d/archive/party2d_replication/outputs/validation/latest/construct_unstable_2026-05-04_18-12-36.csv
623,AR,economic left-right,1990,1991,0.5228341057499999,0.62815575375,0.1053216480000001,0.1053216480000001,/srv/projects/party4d/archive/party2d_replication/outputs/validation/latest/construct_unstable_2026-05-04_18-12-36.csv
1305,RO,economic left-right,2001,2002,0.446037918375,0.3412955855,0.104742332875,0.104742332875,/srv/projects/party4d/archive/party2d_replication/outputs/validation/latest/construct_unstable_2026-05-04_18-12-36.csv
455,IL,cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist,1991,1992,0.5368312063749999,0.432172542875,0.10465866349999992,0.10465866349999992,/srv/projects/party4d/archive/party2d_replication/outputs/validation/latest/construct_unstable_2026-05-04_18-12-36.csv
2415,IT,cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist,2008,2009,0.3804985986625,0.2762634036875,0.104235194975,0.104235194975,/srv/projects/party4d/archive/party2d_replication/outputs/validation/latest/construct_unstable_2026-05-04_18-12-36.csv
599,AT,economic left-right,2008,2009,0.4633838822500001,0.567595171125,0.10421128887499996,0.10421128887499996,/srv/projects/party4d/archive/party2d_replication/outputs/validation/latest/construct_unstable_2026-05-04_18-12-36.csv
669,CH,cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist,2016,2017,0.514819538625,0.410640874875,0.10417866374999996,0.10417866374999996,/srv/projects/party4d/archive/party2d_replication/outputs/validation/latest/construct_unstable_2026-05-04_18-12-36.csv
5852,IS,cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist,2017,2018,0.23270289265,0.336059923125,0.10335703047499996,0.10335703047499996,/srv/projects/party4d/archive/party2d_replication/outputs/validation/latest/construct_unstable_2026-05-04_18-12-36.csv
669,CH,cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist,2015,2016,0.617986882875,0.514819538625,0.10316734425000008,0.10316734425000008,/srv/projects/party4d/archive/party2d_replication/outputs/validation/latest/construct_unstable_2026-05-04_18-12-36.csv
48,GR,cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist,2010,2011,0.569647428,0.6723034049999999,0.10265597699999984,0.10265597699999984,/srv/projects/party4d/archive/party2d_replication/outputs/validation/latest/construct_unstable_2026-05-04_18-12-36.csv
1221,IT,economic left-right,2008,2009,0.400493563,0.50303734575,0.10254378275000003,0.10254378275000003,/srv/projects/party4d/archive/party2d_replication/outputs/validation/latest/construct_unstable_2026-05-04_18-12-36.csv
1651,GR,economic left-right,2014,2015,0.551427035875,0.6535508147500001,0.10212377887500013,0.10212377887500013,/srv/projects/party4d/archive/party2d_replication/outputs/validation/latest/construct_unstable_2026-05-04_18-12-36.csv
1221,IT,economic left-right,2009,2010,0.50303734575,0.604409204875,0.10137185912500002,0.10137185912500002,/srv/projects/party4d/archive/party2d_replication/outputs/validation/latest/construct_unstable_2026-05-04_18-12-36.csv
975,SI,economic left-right,1990,1991,0.579305296625,0.6803467895000002,0.1010414928750002,0.1010414928750002,/srv/projects/party4d/archive/party2d_replication/outputs/validation/latest/construct_unstable_2026-05-04_18-12-36.csv
338,AU,economic left-right,1992,1993,0.791994626125,0.6916490538750002,0.10034557224999983,0.10034557224999983,/srv/projects/party4d/archive/party2d_replication/outputs/validation/latest/construct_unstable_2026-05-04_18-12-36.csv
party_id,country,dimension,year_from,year_to,val_from,val_to,change,annual_change
556,LT,cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist,2019,2020,0.77107951125,0.5289456789999999,0.24213383225000007,0.24213383225000007
1663,IL,cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist,2021,2022,0.1423029388125,0.35615504375,0.2138521049375,0.2138521049375
455,IL,cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist,1997,1998,0.456850958125,0.6432782493750001,0.18642729125000007,0.18642729125000007
455,IL,cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist,1996,1997,0.27663313025,0.456850958125,0.180217827875,0.180217827875
8393,LV,cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist,2018,2019,0.4386382122500001,0.2627366591625,0.17590155308750005,0.17590155308750005
281,BE,cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist,1977,1978,0.6706878695,0.843416257375,0.172728387875,0.172728387875
556,LT,cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist,2001,2002,0.318926108375,0.49125159325,0.172325484875,0.172325484875
964,IS,economic left-right,2016,2017,0.691268056,0.520838928125,0.17042912787499995,0.17042912787499995
298,NL,cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist,2018,2019,0.760919900625,0.592874692125,0.16804520850000004,0.16804520850000004
901,FI,economic left-right,1992,1993,0.486145510375,0.64721287575,0.161067365375,0.161067365375
467,SI,cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist,2018,2019,0.563748886625,0.4041139849999999,0.15963490162500005,0.15963490162500005
1221,IT,economic left-right,2007,2008,0.559621162375,0.400493563,0.15912759937500004,0.15912759937500004
901,FI,economic left-right,1991,1992,0.327277968125,0.486145510375,0.15886754225,0.15886754225
455,IL,cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist,1998,1999,0.6432782493750001,0.7970417803750001,0.15376353099999995,0.15376353099999995
1221,IT,economic left-right,2006,2007,0.7086087693750001,0.559621162375,0.14898760700000002,0.14898760700000002
2211,UA,economic left-right,2006,2007,0.416653024,0.5619799204999999,0.1453268964999999,0.1453268964999999
631,CH,economic left-right,2018,2019,0.613235049875,0.7569515025,0.143716452625,0.143716452625
298,NL,cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist,2019,2020,0.592874692125,0.734536642,0.14166194987500005,0.14166194987500005
556,LT,cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist,2000,2001,0.180505337875,0.318926108375,0.1384207705,0.1384207705
1417,IL,cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist,1968,1969,0.49841048887499995,0.635275993875,0.13686550500000003,0.13686550500000003
81,ES,cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist,1999,2000,0.44213168437499994,0.30819645050000005,0.1339352338749999,0.1339352338749999
1417,IL,cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist,1967,1968,0.364764852,0.49841048887499995,0.13364563687499997,0.13364563687499997
901,FI,economic left-right,1993,1994,0.64721287575,0.78024709825,0.13303422250000008,0.13303422250000008
409,SE,economic left-right,2018,2019,0.4993397851250001,0.6246204093750001,0.12528062425000003,0.12528062425000003
48,GR,cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist,1999,2000,0.471858772375,0.594323158,0.122464385625,0.122464385625
212,DK,cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist,2014,2015,0.339423171125,0.459806116125,0.12038294500000002,0.12038294500000002
2415,IT,cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist,2006,2007,0.6143681051250001,0.49546903375,0.11889907137500004,0.11889907137500004
1369,IT,cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist,2013,2014,0.7406959332499999,0.6231419237500002,0.11755400949999972,0.11755400949999972
5852,IS,cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist,2018,2019,0.336059923125,0.45280653625,0.116746613125,0.116746613125
1417,IL,cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist,1966,1967,0.2487840847,0.364764852,0.11598076729999995,0.11598076729999995
828,NL,cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist,2019,2020,0.399398152875,0.5144400794999999,0.11504192662499996,0.11504192662499996
2415,IT,cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist,2007,2008,0.49546903375,0.3804985986625,0.1149704350875,0.1149704350875
828,NL,cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist,2020,2021,0.5144400794999999,0.6280684987500001,0.11362841925000022,0.11362841925000022
573,DE,cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist,2024,2025,0.34241723825000003,0.4558404575,0.11342321924999998,0.11342321924999998
1424,BE,economic left-right,1977,1978,0.7125746831249999,0.825810219125,0.11323553600000004,0.11323553600000004
1173,NO,cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist,2018,2019,0.353365422125,0.46349993075,0.11013450862499996,0.11013450862499996
1651,GR,economic left-right,2013,2014,0.441388039625,0.551427035875,0.11003899624999997,0.11003899624999997
1660,GR,cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist,2012,2013,0.70537148075,0.8146704603749999,0.1092989796249999,0.1092989796249999
433,FR,economic left-right,2018,2019,0.433590134625,0.542142367875,0.10855223325000002,0.10855223325000002
1002,GB,cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist,2014,2015,0.3184758865,0.2101810030625,0.10829488343750002,0.10829488343750002
623,AR,economic left-right,1989,1990,0.4145806991249999,0.5228341057499999,0.10825340662499994,0.10825340662499994
1305,RO,economic left-right,2000,2001,0.553705481625,0.446037918375,0.10766756325,0.10766756325
298,NL,cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist,2020,2021,0.734536642,0.84215486075,0.10761821875,0.10761821875
1359,PT,economic left-right,2004,2005,0.495169041875,0.602184326875,0.10701528500000002,0.10701528500000002
1651,GR,economic left-right,2012,2013,0.3355888995,0.441388039625,0.10579914012500002,0.10579914012500002
623,AR,economic left-right,1990,1991,0.5228341057499999,0.62815575375,0.1053216480000001,0.1053216480000001
1305,RO,economic left-right,2001,2002,0.446037918375,0.3412955855,0.104742332875,0.104742332875
455,IL,cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist,1991,1992,0.5368312063749999,0.432172542875,0.10465866349999992,0.10465866349999992
2415,IT,cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist,2008,2009,0.3804985986625,0.2762634036875,0.104235194975,0.104235194975
599,AT,economic left-right,2008,2009,0.4633838822500001,0.567595171125,0.10421128887499996,0.10421128887499996
669,CH,cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist,2016,2017,0.514819538625,0.410640874875,0.10417866374999996,0.10417866374999996
5852,IS,cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist,2017,2018,0.23270289265,0.336059923125,0.10335703047499996,0.10335703047499996
669,CH,cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist,2015,2016,0.617986882875,0.514819538625,0.10316734425000008,0.10316734425000008
48,GR,cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist,2010,2011,0.569647428,0.6723034049999999,0.10265597699999984,0.10265597699999984
1221,IT,economic left-right,2008,2009,0.400493563,0.50303734575,0.10254378275000003,0.10254378275000003
1651,GR,economic left-right,2014,2015,0.551427035875,0.6535508147500001,0.10212377887500013,0.10212377887500013
1221,IT,economic left-right,2009,2010,0.50303734575,0.604409204875,0.10137185912500002,0.10137185912500002
975,SI,economic left-right,1990,1991,0.579305296625,0.6803467895000002,0.1010414928750002,0.1010414928750002
338,AU,economic left-right,1992,1993,0.791994626125,0.6916490538750002,0.10034557224999983,0.10034557224999983
1 party_id country dimension year_from year_to val_from val_to change annual_change source_file
2 556 LT cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist 2019 2020 0.77107951125 0.5289456789999999 0.24213383225000007 0.24213383225000007 /srv/projects/party4d/archive/party2d_replication/outputs/validation/latest/construct_unstable_2026-05-04_18-12-36.csv
3 1663 IL cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist 2021 2022 0.1423029388125 0.35615504375 0.2138521049375 0.2138521049375 /srv/projects/party4d/archive/party2d_replication/outputs/validation/latest/construct_unstable_2026-05-04_18-12-36.csv
4 455 IL cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist 1997 1998 0.456850958125 0.6432782493750001 0.18642729125000007 0.18642729125000007 /srv/projects/party4d/archive/party2d_replication/outputs/validation/latest/construct_unstable_2026-05-04_18-12-36.csv
5 455 IL cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist 1996 1997 0.27663313025 0.456850958125 0.180217827875 0.180217827875 /srv/projects/party4d/archive/party2d_replication/outputs/validation/latest/construct_unstable_2026-05-04_18-12-36.csv
6 8393 LV cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist 2018 2019 0.4386382122500001 0.2627366591625 0.17590155308750005 0.17590155308750005 /srv/projects/party4d/archive/party2d_replication/outputs/validation/latest/construct_unstable_2026-05-04_18-12-36.csv
7 281 BE cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist 1977 1978 0.6706878695 0.843416257375 0.172728387875 0.172728387875 /srv/projects/party4d/archive/party2d_replication/outputs/validation/latest/construct_unstable_2026-05-04_18-12-36.csv
8 556 LT cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist 2001 2002 0.318926108375 0.49125159325 0.172325484875 0.172325484875 /srv/projects/party4d/archive/party2d_replication/outputs/validation/latest/construct_unstable_2026-05-04_18-12-36.csv
9 964 IS economic left-right 2016 2017 0.691268056 0.520838928125 0.17042912787499995 0.17042912787499995 /srv/projects/party4d/archive/party2d_replication/outputs/validation/latest/construct_unstable_2026-05-04_18-12-36.csv
10 298 NL cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist 2018 2019 0.760919900625 0.592874692125 0.16804520850000004 0.16804520850000004 /srv/projects/party4d/archive/party2d_replication/outputs/validation/latest/construct_unstable_2026-05-04_18-12-36.csv
11 901 FI economic left-right 1992 1993 0.486145510375 0.64721287575 0.161067365375 0.161067365375 /srv/projects/party4d/archive/party2d_replication/outputs/validation/latest/construct_unstable_2026-05-04_18-12-36.csv
12 467 SI cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist 2018 2019 0.563748886625 0.4041139849999999 0.15963490162500005 0.15963490162500005 /srv/projects/party4d/archive/party2d_replication/outputs/validation/latest/construct_unstable_2026-05-04_18-12-36.csv
13 1221 IT economic left-right 2007 2008 0.559621162375 0.400493563 0.15912759937500004 0.15912759937500004 /srv/projects/party4d/archive/party2d_replication/outputs/validation/latest/construct_unstable_2026-05-04_18-12-36.csv
14 901 FI economic left-right 1991 1992 0.327277968125 0.486145510375 0.15886754225 0.15886754225 /srv/projects/party4d/archive/party2d_replication/outputs/validation/latest/construct_unstable_2026-05-04_18-12-36.csv
15 455 IL cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist 1998 1999 0.6432782493750001 0.7970417803750001 0.15376353099999995 0.15376353099999995 /srv/projects/party4d/archive/party2d_replication/outputs/validation/latest/construct_unstable_2026-05-04_18-12-36.csv
16 1221 IT economic left-right 2006 2007 0.7086087693750001 0.559621162375 0.14898760700000002 0.14898760700000002 /srv/projects/party4d/archive/party2d_replication/outputs/validation/latest/construct_unstable_2026-05-04_18-12-36.csv
17 2211 UA economic left-right 2006 2007 0.416653024 0.5619799204999999 0.1453268964999999 0.1453268964999999 /srv/projects/party4d/archive/party2d_replication/outputs/validation/latest/construct_unstable_2026-05-04_18-12-36.csv
18 631 CH economic left-right 2018 2019 0.613235049875 0.7569515025 0.143716452625 0.143716452625 /srv/projects/party4d/archive/party2d_replication/outputs/validation/latest/construct_unstable_2026-05-04_18-12-36.csv
19 298 NL cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist 2019 2020 0.592874692125 0.734536642 0.14166194987500005 0.14166194987500005 /srv/projects/party4d/archive/party2d_replication/outputs/validation/latest/construct_unstable_2026-05-04_18-12-36.csv
20 556 LT cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist 2000 2001 0.180505337875 0.318926108375 0.1384207705 0.1384207705 /srv/projects/party4d/archive/party2d_replication/outputs/validation/latest/construct_unstable_2026-05-04_18-12-36.csv
21 1417 IL cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist 1968 1969 0.49841048887499995 0.635275993875 0.13686550500000003 0.13686550500000003 /srv/projects/party4d/archive/party2d_replication/outputs/validation/latest/construct_unstable_2026-05-04_18-12-36.csv
22 81 ES cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist 1999 2000 0.44213168437499994 0.30819645050000005 0.1339352338749999 0.1339352338749999 /srv/projects/party4d/archive/party2d_replication/outputs/validation/latest/construct_unstable_2026-05-04_18-12-36.csv
23 1417 IL cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist 1967 1968 0.364764852 0.49841048887499995 0.13364563687499997 0.13364563687499997 /srv/projects/party4d/archive/party2d_replication/outputs/validation/latest/construct_unstable_2026-05-04_18-12-36.csv
24 901 FI economic left-right 1993 1994 0.64721287575 0.78024709825 0.13303422250000008 0.13303422250000008 /srv/projects/party4d/archive/party2d_replication/outputs/validation/latest/construct_unstable_2026-05-04_18-12-36.csv
25 409 SE economic left-right 2018 2019 0.4993397851250001 0.6246204093750001 0.12528062425000003 0.12528062425000003 /srv/projects/party4d/archive/party2d_replication/outputs/validation/latest/construct_unstable_2026-05-04_18-12-36.csv
26 48 GR cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist 1999 2000 0.471858772375 0.594323158 0.122464385625 0.122464385625 /srv/projects/party4d/archive/party2d_replication/outputs/validation/latest/construct_unstable_2026-05-04_18-12-36.csv
27 212 DK cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist 2014 2015 0.339423171125 0.459806116125 0.12038294500000002 0.12038294500000002 /srv/projects/party4d/archive/party2d_replication/outputs/validation/latest/construct_unstable_2026-05-04_18-12-36.csv
28 2415 IT cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist 2006 2007 0.6143681051250001 0.49546903375 0.11889907137500004 0.11889907137500004 /srv/projects/party4d/archive/party2d_replication/outputs/validation/latest/construct_unstable_2026-05-04_18-12-36.csv
29 1369 IT cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist 2013 2014 0.7406959332499999 0.6231419237500002 0.11755400949999972 0.11755400949999972 /srv/projects/party4d/archive/party2d_replication/outputs/validation/latest/construct_unstable_2026-05-04_18-12-36.csv
30 5852 IS cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist 2018 2019 0.336059923125 0.45280653625 0.116746613125 0.116746613125 /srv/projects/party4d/archive/party2d_replication/outputs/validation/latest/construct_unstable_2026-05-04_18-12-36.csv
31 1417 IL cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist 1966 1967 0.2487840847 0.364764852 0.11598076729999995 0.11598076729999995 /srv/projects/party4d/archive/party2d_replication/outputs/validation/latest/construct_unstable_2026-05-04_18-12-36.csv
32 828 NL cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist 2019 2020 0.399398152875 0.5144400794999999 0.11504192662499996 0.11504192662499996 /srv/projects/party4d/archive/party2d_replication/outputs/validation/latest/construct_unstable_2026-05-04_18-12-36.csv
33 2415 IT cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist 2007 2008 0.49546903375 0.3804985986625 0.1149704350875 0.1149704350875 /srv/projects/party4d/archive/party2d_replication/outputs/validation/latest/construct_unstable_2026-05-04_18-12-36.csv
34 828 NL cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist 2020 2021 0.5144400794999999 0.6280684987500001 0.11362841925000022 0.11362841925000022 /srv/projects/party4d/archive/party2d_replication/outputs/validation/latest/construct_unstable_2026-05-04_18-12-36.csv
35 573 DE cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist 2024 2025 0.34241723825000003 0.4558404575 0.11342321924999998 0.11342321924999998 /srv/projects/party4d/archive/party2d_replication/outputs/validation/latest/construct_unstable_2026-05-04_18-12-36.csv
36 1424 BE economic left-right 1977 1978 0.7125746831249999 0.825810219125 0.11323553600000004 0.11323553600000004 /srv/projects/party4d/archive/party2d_replication/outputs/validation/latest/construct_unstable_2026-05-04_18-12-36.csv
37 1173 NO cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist 2018 2019 0.353365422125 0.46349993075 0.11013450862499996 0.11013450862499996 /srv/projects/party4d/archive/party2d_replication/outputs/validation/latest/construct_unstable_2026-05-04_18-12-36.csv
38 1651 GR economic left-right 2013 2014 0.441388039625 0.551427035875 0.11003899624999997 0.11003899624999997 /srv/projects/party4d/archive/party2d_replication/outputs/validation/latest/construct_unstable_2026-05-04_18-12-36.csv
39 1660 GR cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist 2012 2013 0.70537148075 0.8146704603749999 0.1092989796249999 0.1092989796249999 /srv/projects/party4d/archive/party2d_replication/outputs/validation/latest/construct_unstable_2026-05-04_18-12-36.csv
40 433 FR economic left-right 2018 2019 0.433590134625 0.542142367875 0.10855223325000002 0.10855223325000002 /srv/projects/party4d/archive/party2d_replication/outputs/validation/latest/construct_unstable_2026-05-04_18-12-36.csv
41 1002 GB cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist 2014 2015 0.3184758865 0.2101810030625 0.10829488343750002 0.10829488343750002 /srv/projects/party4d/archive/party2d_replication/outputs/validation/latest/construct_unstable_2026-05-04_18-12-36.csv
42 623 AR economic left-right 1989 1990 0.4145806991249999 0.5228341057499999 0.10825340662499994 0.10825340662499994 /srv/projects/party4d/archive/party2d_replication/outputs/validation/latest/construct_unstable_2026-05-04_18-12-36.csv
43 1305 RO economic left-right 2000 2001 0.553705481625 0.446037918375 0.10766756325 0.10766756325 /srv/projects/party4d/archive/party2d_replication/outputs/validation/latest/construct_unstable_2026-05-04_18-12-36.csv
44 298 NL cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist 2020 2021 0.734536642 0.84215486075 0.10761821875 0.10761821875 /srv/projects/party4d/archive/party2d_replication/outputs/validation/latest/construct_unstable_2026-05-04_18-12-36.csv
45 1359 PT economic left-right 2004 2005 0.495169041875 0.602184326875 0.10701528500000002 0.10701528500000002 /srv/projects/party4d/archive/party2d_replication/outputs/validation/latest/construct_unstable_2026-05-04_18-12-36.csv
46 1651 GR economic left-right 2012 2013 0.3355888995 0.441388039625 0.10579914012500002 0.10579914012500002 /srv/projects/party4d/archive/party2d_replication/outputs/validation/latest/construct_unstable_2026-05-04_18-12-36.csv
47 623 AR economic left-right 1990 1991 0.5228341057499999 0.62815575375 0.1053216480000001 0.1053216480000001 /srv/projects/party4d/archive/party2d_replication/outputs/validation/latest/construct_unstable_2026-05-04_18-12-36.csv
48 1305 RO economic left-right 2001 2002 0.446037918375 0.3412955855 0.104742332875 0.104742332875 /srv/projects/party4d/archive/party2d_replication/outputs/validation/latest/construct_unstable_2026-05-04_18-12-36.csv
49 455 IL cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist 1991 1992 0.5368312063749999 0.432172542875 0.10465866349999992 0.10465866349999992 /srv/projects/party4d/archive/party2d_replication/outputs/validation/latest/construct_unstable_2026-05-04_18-12-36.csv
50 2415 IT cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist 2008 2009 0.3804985986625 0.2762634036875 0.104235194975 0.104235194975 /srv/projects/party4d/archive/party2d_replication/outputs/validation/latest/construct_unstable_2026-05-04_18-12-36.csv
51 599 AT economic left-right 2008 2009 0.4633838822500001 0.567595171125 0.10421128887499996 0.10421128887499996 /srv/projects/party4d/archive/party2d_replication/outputs/validation/latest/construct_unstable_2026-05-04_18-12-36.csv
52 669 CH cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist 2016 2017 0.514819538625 0.410640874875 0.10417866374999996 0.10417866374999996 /srv/projects/party4d/archive/party2d_replication/outputs/validation/latest/construct_unstable_2026-05-04_18-12-36.csv
53 5852 IS cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist 2017 2018 0.23270289265 0.336059923125 0.10335703047499996 0.10335703047499996 /srv/projects/party4d/archive/party2d_replication/outputs/validation/latest/construct_unstable_2026-05-04_18-12-36.csv
54 669 CH cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist 2015 2016 0.617986882875 0.514819538625 0.10316734425000008 0.10316734425000008 /srv/projects/party4d/archive/party2d_replication/outputs/validation/latest/construct_unstable_2026-05-04_18-12-36.csv
55 48 GR cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist 2010 2011 0.569647428 0.6723034049999999 0.10265597699999984 0.10265597699999984 /srv/projects/party4d/archive/party2d_replication/outputs/validation/latest/construct_unstable_2026-05-04_18-12-36.csv
56 1221 IT economic left-right 2008 2009 0.400493563 0.50303734575 0.10254378275000003 0.10254378275000003 /srv/projects/party4d/archive/party2d_replication/outputs/validation/latest/construct_unstable_2026-05-04_18-12-36.csv
57 1651 GR economic left-right 2014 2015 0.551427035875 0.6535508147500001 0.10212377887500013 0.10212377887500013 /srv/projects/party4d/archive/party2d_replication/outputs/validation/latest/construct_unstable_2026-05-04_18-12-36.csv
58 1221 IT economic left-right 2009 2010 0.50303734575 0.604409204875 0.10137185912500002 0.10137185912500002 /srv/projects/party4d/archive/party2d_replication/outputs/validation/latest/construct_unstable_2026-05-04_18-12-36.csv
59 975 SI economic left-right 1990 1991 0.579305296625 0.6803467895000002 0.1010414928750002 0.1010414928750002 /srv/projects/party4d/archive/party2d_replication/outputs/validation/latest/construct_unstable_2026-05-04_18-12-36.csv
60 338 AU economic left-right 1992 1993 0.791994626125 0.6916490538750002 0.10034557224999983 0.10034557224999983 /srv/projects/party4d/archive/party2d_replication/outputs/validation/latest/construct_unstable_2026-05-04_18-12-36.csv
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var,dimension,n,pearson_r,mean_absolute_error,coverage_95,source_file
culsup_vparty,cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist,536,0.8121247297636631,0.12821713597308768,0.3843283582089552,/srv/projects/party4d/archive/party2d_replication/outputs/validation/latest/external_validation_2026-03-28_18-37-35.csv
galtan_ches,cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist,222,0.9588005926603757,0.07875607868037135,0.5225225225225225,/srv/projects/party4d/archive/party2d_replication/outputs/validation/latest/external_validation_2026-03-28_18-37-35.csv
gender_vparty,cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist,545,0.5626122704047269,0.16947520363543578,0.28990825688073396,/srv/projects/party4d/archive/party2d_replication/outputs/validation/latest/external_validation_2026-03-28_18-37-35.csv
immig_vparty,cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist,537,0.7429394940511392,0.10311559715251396,0.4897579143389199,/srv/projects/party4d/archive/party2d_replication/outputs/validation/latest/external_validation_2026-03-28_18-37-35.csv
lgbt_vparty,cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist,541,0.7941178030023652,0.09410224229993068,0.5508317929759704,/srv/projects/party4d/archive/party2d_replication/outputs/validation/latest/external_validation_2026-03-28_18-37-35.csv
relig_vparty,cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist,548,0.6757229503671286,0.30309927660661495,0.04744525547445255,/srv/projects/party4d/archive/party2d_replication/outputs/validation/latest/external_validation_2026-03-28_18-37-35.csv
lrecon_ches,economic left-right,223,0.9739626905522167,0.05518814853885153,0.8116591928251121,/srv/projects/party4d/archive/party2d_replication/outputs/validation/latest/external_validation_2026-03-28_18-37-35.csv
lrecon_poppa,economic left-right,74,0.9799670973969279,0.0660246477855859,0.6621621621621622,/srv/projects/party4d/archive/party2d_replication/outputs/validation/latest/external_validation_2026-03-28_18-37-35.csv
lrecon_vparty,economic left-right,534,0.8664105550524236,0.08828332773956499,0.6741573033707865,/srv/projects/party4d/archive/party2d_replication/outputs/validation/latest/external_validation_2026-03-28_18-37-35.csv
welf_vparty,economic left-right,534,0.6821895613302613,0.17587920065205523,0.36329588014981273,/srv/projects/party4d/archive/party2d_replication/outputs/validation/latest/external_validation_2026-03-28_18-37-35.csv
var,dimension,n,pearson_r,mean_absolute_error,coverage_95
culsup_vparty,cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist,536,0.8121247297636631,0.12821713597308768,0.3843283582089552
galtan_ches,cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist,222,0.9588005926603757,0.07875607868037135,0.5225225225225225
gender_vparty,cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist,545,0.5626122704047269,0.16947520363543578,0.28990825688073396
immig_vparty,cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist,537,0.7429394940511392,0.10311559715251396,0.4897579143389199
lgbt_vparty,cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist,541,0.7941178030023652,0.09410224229993068,0.5508317929759704
relig_vparty,cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist,548,0.6757229503671286,0.30309927660661495,0.04744525547445255
lrecon_ches,economic left-right,223,0.9739626905522167,0.05518814853885153,0.8116591928251121
lrecon_poppa,economic left-right,74,0.9799670973969279,0.0660246477855859,0.6621621621621622
lrecon_vparty,economic left-right,534,0.8664105550524236,0.08828332773956499,0.6741573033707865
welf_vparty,economic left-right,534,0.6821895613302613,0.17587920065205523,0.36329588014981273
1 var dimension n pearson_r mean_absolute_error coverage_95 source_file
2 culsup_vparty cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist 536 0.8121247297636631 0.12821713597308768 0.3843283582089552 /srv/projects/party4d/archive/party2d_replication/outputs/validation/latest/external_validation_2026-03-28_18-37-35.csv
3 galtan_ches cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist 222 0.9588005926603757 0.07875607868037135 0.5225225225225225 /srv/projects/party4d/archive/party2d_replication/outputs/validation/latest/external_validation_2026-03-28_18-37-35.csv
4 gender_vparty cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist 545 0.5626122704047269 0.16947520363543578 0.28990825688073396 /srv/projects/party4d/archive/party2d_replication/outputs/validation/latest/external_validation_2026-03-28_18-37-35.csv
5 immig_vparty cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist 537 0.7429394940511392 0.10311559715251396 0.4897579143389199 /srv/projects/party4d/archive/party2d_replication/outputs/validation/latest/external_validation_2026-03-28_18-37-35.csv
6 lgbt_vparty cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist 541 0.7941178030023652 0.09410224229993068 0.5508317929759704 /srv/projects/party4d/archive/party2d_replication/outputs/validation/latest/external_validation_2026-03-28_18-37-35.csv
7 relig_vparty cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist 548 0.6757229503671286 0.30309927660661495 0.04744525547445255 /srv/projects/party4d/archive/party2d_replication/outputs/validation/latest/external_validation_2026-03-28_18-37-35.csv
8 lrecon_ches economic left-right 223 0.9739626905522167 0.05518814853885153 0.8116591928251121 /srv/projects/party4d/archive/party2d_replication/outputs/validation/latest/external_validation_2026-03-28_18-37-35.csv
9 lrecon_poppa economic left-right 74 0.9799670973969279 0.0660246477855859 0.6621621621621622 /srv/projects/party4d/archive/party2d_replication/outputs/validation/latest/external_validation_2026-03-28_18-37-35.csv
10 lrecon_vparty economic left-right 534 0.8664105550524236 0.08828332773956499 0.6741573033707865 /srv/projects/party4d/archive/party2d_replication/outputs/validation/latest/external_validation_2026-03-28_18-37-35.csv
11 welf_vparty economic left-right 534 0.6821895613302613 0.17587920065205523 0.36329588014981273 /srv/projects/party4d/archive/party2d_replication/outputs/validation/latest/external_validation_2026-03-28_18-37-35.csv
diagnostics/generated/model_convergence_by_dimension.csv
+9 -9
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@@ -1,9 +1,9 @@
dimension,parameters,mean_rhat,max_rhat,min_ess_bulk,mean_ess_bulk,source_file
cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist,17585,1.0006424726753271,1.0063876592524996,810.5088684922246,6889.24553993031,/srv/projects/party4d/archive/party2d_replication/outputs/diagnostics/convergence_diagnostics_2026-06-12_12-53-24.csv
economic left-right,17585,1.0003816350246089,1.0041031832256586,670.7084347577414,5573.455663381927,/srv/projects/party4d/archive/party2d_replication/outputs/diagnostics/convergence_diagnostics_2026-06-12_12-53-24.csv
lr_country_offset,65,1.0007983450724103,1.0042741902159762,1078.1975001602086,5434.867801353405,/srv/projects/party4d/archive/party2d_replication/outputs/diagnostics/convergence_diagnostics_2026-06-12_12-53-24.csv
lr_decade_offset,8,1.0003240812347383,1.0011721739400503,2069.6763143867825,3372.015629437053,/srv/projects/party4d/archive/party2d_replication/outputs/diagnostics/convergence_diagnostics_2026-06-12_12-53-24.csv
lr_sigma,3,1.0010806271267045,1.001817706171186,1956.6110527635497,2582.401306906664,/srv/projects/party4d/archive/party2d_replication/outputs/diagnostics/convergence_diagnostics_2026-06-12_12-53-24.csv
lr_source_offset,3,1.0001329930739762,1.0002839044194227,3477.5194916377077,3814.373810300655,/srv/projects/party4d/archive/party2d_replication/outputs/diagnostics/convergence_diagnostics_2026-06-12_12-53-24.csv
lr_weight,3,1.0023083674707072,1.0023587853631075,1540.8061256188755,1560.2173784478186,/srv/projects/party4d/archive/party2d_replication/outputs/diagnostics/convergence_diagnostics_2026-06-12_12-53-24.csv
mean_sigma,6,1.00453801817315,1.0092946499280384,534.8105812273362,918.5017536375844,/srv/projects/party4d/archive/party2d_replication/outputs/diagnostics/convergence_diagnostics_2026-06-12_12-53-24.csv
dimension,parameters,mean_rhat,max_rhat,min_ess_bulk,mean_ess_bulk
cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist,17585,1.0006424726753271,1.0063876592524996,810.5088684922246,6889.24553993031
economic left-right,17585,1.0003816350246089,1.0041031832256586,670.7084347577414,5573.455663381927
lr_country_offset,65,1.0007983450724103,1.0042741902159762,1078.1975001602086,5434.867801353405
lr_decade_offset,8,1.0003240812347383,1.0011721739400503,2069.6763143867825,3372.015629437053
lr_sigma,3,1.0010806271267045,1.001817706171186,1956.6110527635497,2582.401306906664
lr_source_offset,3,1.0001329930739762,1.0002839044194227,3477.5194916377077,3814.373810300655
lr_weight,3,1.0023083674707072,1.0023587853631075,1540.8061256188755,1560.2173784478186
mean_sigma,6,1.00453801817315,1.0092946499280384,534.8105812273362,918.5017536375844
1 dimension parameters mean_rhat max_rhat min_ess_bulk mean_ess_bulk source_file
2 cultural cosmopolitan--traditionalist 17585 1.0006424726753271 1.0063876592524996 810.5088684922246 6889.24553993031 /srv/projects/party4d/archive/party2d_replication/outputs/diagnostics/convergence_diagnostics_2026-06-12_12-53-24.csv
3 economic left-right 17585 1.0003816350246089 1.0041031832256586 670.7084347577414 5573.455663381927 /srv/projects/party4d/archive/party2d_replication/outputs/diagnostics/convergence_diagnostics_2026-06-12_12-53-24.csv
4 lr_country_offset 65 1.0007983450724103 1.0042741902159762 1078.1975001602086 5434.867801353405 /srv/projects/party4d/archive/party2d_replication/outputs/diagnostics/convergence_diagnostics_2026-06-12_12-53-24.csv
5 lr_decade_offset 8 1.0003240812347383 1.0011721739400503 2069.6763143867825 3372.015629437053 /srv/projects/party4d/archive/party2d_replication/outputs/diagnostics/convergence_diagnostics_2026-06-12_12-53-24.csv
6 lr_sigma 3 1.0010806271267045 1.001817706171186 1956.6110527635497 2582.401306906664 /srv/projects/party4d/archive/party2d_replication/outputs/diagnostics/convergence_diagnostics_2026-06-12_12-53-24.csv
7 lr_source_offset 3 1.0001329930739762 1.0002839044194227 3477.5194916377077 3814.373810300655 /srv/projects/party4d/archive/party2d_replication/outputs/diagnostics/convergence_diagnostics_2026-06-12_12-53-24.csv
8 lr_weight 3 1.0023083674707072 1.0023587853631075 1540.8061256188755 1560.2173784478186 /srv/projects/party4d/archive/party2d_replication/outputs/diagnostics/convergence_diagnostics_2026-06-12_12-53-24.csv
9 mean_sigma 6 1.00453801817315 1.0092946499280384 534.8105812273362 918.5017536375844 /srv/projects/party4d/archive/party2d_replication/outputs/diagnostics/convergence_diagnostics_2026-06-12_12-53-24.csv
diagnostics/generated/model_convergence_summary.csv
+7 -7
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@@ -1,7 +1,7 @@
metric,count,percentage,source_file
R-hat < 1.01,35258,100,/srv/projects/party4d/archive/party2d_replication/outputs/diagnostics/convergence_summary_2026-06-12_12-53-24.csv
R-hat 1.01-1.05,0,0,/srv/projects/party4d/archive/party2d_replication/outputs/diagnostics/convergence_summary_2026-06-12_12-53-24.csv
R-hat > 1.05,0,0,/srv/projects/party4d/archive/party2d_replication/outputs/diagnostics/convergence_summary_2026-06-12_12-53-24.csv
ESS > 1000,34853,98.85,/srv/projects/party4d/archive/party2d_replication/outputs/diagnostics/convergence_summary_2026-06-12_12-53-24.csv
ESS 400-1000,405,1.15,/srv/projects/party4d/archive/party2d_replication/outputs/diagnostics/convergence_summary_2026-06-12_12-53-24.csv
ESS < 400,0,0,/srv/projects/party4d/archive/party2d_replication/outputs/diagnostics/convergence_summary_2026-06-12_12-53-24.csv
metric,count,percentage
R-hat < 1.01,35258,100
R-hat 1.01-1.05,0,0
R-hat > 1.05,0,0
ESS > 1000,34853,98.85
ESS 400-1000,405,1.15
ESS < 400,0,0
1 metric count percentage source_file
2 R-hat < 1.01 35258 100 /srv/projects/party4d/archive/party2d_replication/outputs/diagnostics/convergence_summary_2026-06-12_12-53-24.csv
3 R-hat 1.01-1.05 0 0 /srv/projects/party4d/archive/party2d_replication/outputs/diagnostics/convergence_summary_2026-06-12_12-53-24.csv
4 R-hat > 1.05 0 0 /srv/projects/party4d/archive/party2d_replication/outputs/diagnostics/convergence_summary_2026-06-12_12-53-24.csv
5 ESS > 1000 34853 98.85 /srv/projects/party4d/archive/party2d_replication/outputs/diagnostics/convergence_summary_2026-06-12_12-53-24.csv
6 ESS 400-1000 405 1.15 /srv/projects/party4d/archive/party2d_replication/outputs/diagnostics/convergence_summary_2026-06-12_12-53-24.csv
7 ESS < 400 0 0 /srv/projects/party4d/archive/party2d_replication/outputs/diagnostics/convergence_summary_2026-06-12_12-53-24.csv