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Use continuous trajectories with election endpoints

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Armin
2026-08-14 13:05:00 +00:00
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validation/CASE_SELECTION.md
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@@ -7,9 +7,9 @@ The scale examples are selected to make the two released dimensions substantivel
The connected paths show recognizable changes across countries and political traditions:
- Hungary: Fidesz (PartyFacts 1691), 1990--2022.
- Denmark: Social Democratic Party (PartyFacts 379), 2007--2019.
- United States: Democratic Party (PartyFacts 432), 1944--2020.
- United States: Democratic Party (PartyFacts 432), 1988--2020.
- Germany: Christian Democratic Union (PartyFacts 1375), 2002--2025.
All election-year posterior means in these windows form the connected paths. The labelled endpoints include 95% latent-position credible intervals. The manuscript uses published historical research to interpret the broad movements without treating the estimates as causal evidence.
All election-year posterior means in these windows form the connected paths. Intermediate observations are line vertices without point symbols. The labelled endpoints correspond to Hungarian parliamentary elections, US presidential elections and German federal elections and include 95% latent-position credible intervals. The manuscript uses published historical research to interpret the broad movements without treating the estimates as causal evidence.
The figure contains only these three trajectories. Horizontal and vertical bars show 95% latent-position credible intervals at each labelled endpoint. The machine-readable plotting table retains every path observation.