Consolidate scale examples into one figure
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# Predeclared case-selection rules
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# Scale-example selection and interpretation
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These rules were recorded before inspecting the selected parties' position estimates.
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The scale examples are selected to make the two released dimensions substantively interpretable. They are illustrative reference cases rather than a representative sample or an independent validation of the posterior coordinates. Published party-history research supports the qualitative interpretation of the cases, not their exact estimated values.
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## Trajectory figure
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The figure will use parties selected for cross-national recognition, family diversity, long election coverage, and relevance to interpreting movement on the two scales. Selection is not based on the magnitude of the estimated movement.
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The connected paths show recognizable changes across countries and political traditions:
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Preselected parties:
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- Hungary: Fidesz (PartyFacts 1691), 1990--2022.
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- Denmark: Social Democratic Party (PartyFacts 379), 2007--2019.
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- United States: Democratic Party (PartyFacts 432), 1944--2020.
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- Germany: Social Democratic Party of Germany (PartyFacts 383)
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- Germany: Christian Democratic Union (PartyFacts 1375)
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- United Kingdom: Labour Party (PartyFacts 1516)
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- United Kingdom: Conservative Party (PartyFacts 1567)
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- Denmark: Social Democratic Party, short name SD (PartyFacts 379)
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- Sweden: Sweden Democrats (PartyFacts 409)
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- United States: Democratic Party (PartyFacts 432)
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- United States: Republican Party (PartyFacts 809)
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The final display may use a subset only to preserve legibility, but exclusions must be based on panel layout or insufficient coverage rather than unattractive results. Both posterior means and 95% latent-position credible intervals will be shown. Text will not infer a cause of movement from the estimates alone.
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All election-year posterior means in these windows form the connected paths. The labelled endpoints include 95% latent-position credible intervals. The manuscript uses published historical research to interpret the broad movements without treating the estimates as causal evidence.
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## Two-dimensional landmarks
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Landmarks will be selected from recognizable party-election cases, with representation of economically left/right, culturally cosmopolitan/traditionalist, and moderate combinations. Target years are declared before checking exact positions; if the requested year is absent, the nearest election within three years will be used and disclosed.
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The standalone anchors cover low, middle and high regions of both scales and include cross-pressured combinations:
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- German Social Democratic Party: 1972 and 2021
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- German Christian Democratic Union: 1983 and 2021
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- UK Labour Party: 1983 and 1997
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- UK Conservative Party: 1979 and 2019
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- Swedish Social Democratic Labour Party (PartyFacts 487): 1994 and 2022
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- Sweden Democrats: 2010 and 2022
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- French National Front (PartyFacts 433): 1988 and 2022
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- German The Left (PartyFacts 1545): 2021
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- US Democratic Party: 2020
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- US Republican Party: 2020
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- German The Left: 2021 (PartyFacts 1545).
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- German Christian Democratic Union: 2021 (PartyFacts 1375).
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- Polish Law and Justice: 2019 (PartyFacts 1565).
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- UK Conservative Party: 1979 (PartyFacts 1567).
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- French National Front: 2022 (PartyFacts 433).
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- US Republican Party: 2020 (PartyFacts 809).
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Labels may be pruned only to avoid overlap. The plotting-data table will retain all declared cases, including missing cases and substitutions.
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Every anchor must match the requested party-year exactly. Horizontal and vertical bars show 95% latent-position credible intervals. The machine-readable plotting table retains every path observation and anchor.
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